Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Mineiro vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
CA Mineiro
1 – 3
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Sun 17 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Reinier 19' Y
Y 28' Carlos Vinicius
R 65' Carlos Vinicius
Tomas Cuello 76' R
Hulk 85' Y
Junior Alonso 90' R
Y 90' Andre
R 90' Dodi

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

6
1
10
CA Mineiro 17 games · Avg 3.3 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Grêmio FBPA 2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-09-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Grêmio FBPA H 1–3 L
10 Aug CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
03 Aug RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
27 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
20 Jul SE Palmeiras A 2–3 L
13 Jul EC Bahia A 1–2 L
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug CA Mineiro A 3–1 W
10 Aug SC Recife H 0–1 L
03 Aug Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
29 Jul Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
27 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Grêmio FBPA
#9 Position #16
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
7 / 3 / 8 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
22 Scored 20
23 Conceded 23
-1 GD -3
1.33 PPG 1.17
39% Win % 28%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between CA Mineiro and Grêmio FBPA is underway.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alysson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Mineiro.
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Gustavo Scarpa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 19' Reinier has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 19.
  • 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Mineiro and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 28' Carlos Vinicius picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' Gustavo Scarpa adds to his 1 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 43' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 45' What composure from Edenilson! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 45' The supporters are chanting for Dodi. He replaces Mathias Villasanti on 45 minute.
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tiago Volpi made 371 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 58' GOAL! Fabian Balbuena scores on 58.
  • 60' Rony is replacing Reinier for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 65' Carlos Vinicius has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
  • 68' Natanael makes way for Gabriel Teixeira at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
  • 73' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Gustavo Cuellar by Alex Santana on 73 minute.
  • 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tomas Cuello on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 83' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Alexsander Gomes departs to be replaced by Igor Gomes.
  • 84' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Edenilson has done his job and it is now time for Andre to step up.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Hulk argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Cristian Olivera is replaced by Alexander Aravena.
  • 90' What a strike from Alexander Aravena! The score is 1-3.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Junior Alonso on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Grêmio FBPA to claim maximum points.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cuca

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Eduardo Vargas 4
Keno 3
Dodo 2
Edenilson 2
Hyoran 2
Hulk 2
Jaminton Campaz 2
Alexander Aravena 2

Head to Head

2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Grêmio FBPA 2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-09-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Grêmio FBPA

CA Mineiro Form

2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-08-10 CR Vasco da Gama 1–1 CA Mineiro D 2025-08-03 CA Mineiro 2–1 RB Bragantino W 2025-07-27 CR Flamengo 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-07-20 SE Palmeiras 3–2 CA Mineiro L 2025-07-13 EC Bahia 2–1 CA Mineiro L

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-08-10 Grêmio FBPA 0–1 SC Recife L 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-07-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-07-19 CR Vasco da Gama 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: CA Mineiro or Grêmio FBPA 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro38% Draw28% Grêmio FBPA34%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
66%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
62%
CA Mineiro or Grêmio FBPA
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro28% Draw46% Grêmio FBPA26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.