Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 3
Full Time
Sun 1 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC Arena do Gremio 9,961 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martin Braithwaite 32' 1–0
Franco Cristaldo 41' 2–0
2–1 73' Gustavo Scarpa pen
2–2 90+4' Brahian Palacios pen
2–3 90+6' Eduardo Vargas

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–3 L
25 Aug Criciúma EC A 1–0 W
20 Aug Fluminense FC A 3–6 L
17 Aug EC Bahia H 0–2 L
13 Aug Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
10 Aug Cuiaba EC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Gremio FBPA A 3–2 W
25 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–2 L
21 Aug CA San Lorenzo de Almagro H 1–0 W
17 Aug Cuiaba EC H 1–1 D
14 Aug CA San Lorenzo de Almagro A 1–1 D
11 Aug Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA CA Mineiro
#18 Position #7
31 Points 47
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 9
32 Scored 41
40 Conceded 35
-8 GD +6
1.03 PPG 1.57
23% Win % 43%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Gremio FBPA have kicked off against CA Mineiro. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' CA Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gremio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' A moment of madness from Bernard on 29 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
  • 32' Martin Braithwaite puts Gremio FBPA on the lead.
  • 37' Gremio FBPA are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against CA Mineiro's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 39' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 41' Franco Cristaldo doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Fausto Vera has done his job and it is now time for Eduardo Vargas to step up.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Martin Braithwaite by Nata on 59 minute.
  • 64' Rodrigo Battaglia, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 67' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Deyverson has done his job and it is now time for Cadu to step up.
  • 71' Walter Kannemann catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 73' Gustavo Scarpa adds to his 1 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 74' Gremio FBPA make a change. Franco Cristaldo trudges off to be replaced by Nathan Ribeiro on 74 minutes.
  • 78' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Brahian Palacios will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gremio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 88' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Gustavo Scarpa exits the field as Alan Kardec enters on 88.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Geromel comes on to replace Nathan Ribeiro.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA30% Draw27% CA Mineiro43%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
57%
Draw or CA Mineiro
70%
Gremio FBPA or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA22% Draw44% CA Mineiro34%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.