Friday , 16 October 2026

CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
CA Mineiro
2 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Wed 9 Oct 2024 · 22:30 UTC ARENA MRV 22,053 HT 45' · FT 45'
Hulk pen 11' 1–0
1–1 24' Alexander Aravena
Deyverson 39' 2–1
Lyanco 18' Y
Y 33' Jemerson
Y 35' Agustin Marchesin
Deyverson 54' Y
Y 54' Reinaldo
Fausto Vera 55' Y
Hulk 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

7
1
10
CA Mineiro 18 games · Avg 3.3 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-07-23 Gremio FBPA 1–0 CA Mineiro 2021-12-10 Gremio FBPA 4–3 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
05 Oct EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
28 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L
25 Sep Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
22 Sep RB Bragantino H 3–0 W
18 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 3–1 W
29 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
25 Sep Criciúma EC H 1–2 L
22 Sep CR Flamengo H 3–2 W
15 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Gremio FBPA
#7 Position #18
47 Points 31
30 Played 30
13 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
41 Scored 32
35 Conceded 40
+6 GD -8
1.57 PPG 1.03
43% Win % 23%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (47 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. CA Mineiro host Gremio FBPA — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The 38-year-old Agustin Marchesin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Joao Pedro Pepe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 330 appearances.
  • 11' What a strike from Hulk! The score is 1-0.
  • 16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
  • 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lyanco.
  • 23' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 24' Alexander Aravena does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
  • 29' CA Mineiro are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 33' A moment of madness from Jemerson on 33 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 35' Agustin Marchesin was booked on 35.
  • 39' A stunning finish from Deyverson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 44' Brazil international Jemerson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 48' Bruno Fuchs gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Lyanco and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 483 games and scored 487 goals.
  • 54' It’s a booking for CA Mineiro player. Deyverson gets a card.
  • 55' Fausto Vera catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 55.
  • 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 66' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Igor exits the field as Diego Costa enters on 66.
  • 71' Ronald is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
  • 76' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 77' The whistle greets Franco Cristaldo as he departs to be replaced by Miguel Monsalve.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Cristian Pavon comes on to replace Jemerson.
  • 80' Mariano is replacing Deyverson for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 85' It looks surprising Gremio FBPA does not make any changes. Otavio has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 86' Gremio FBPA make a change. Joao Pedro Pepe trudges off to be replaced by Ronald on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Mayk gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Alexander Aravena and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Hulk was booked on 90.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Alan Kardec. He replaces Hulk on 90 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gabriel Milito

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Eduardo Vargas 4
Keno 3
Diego Souza 2
Gustavo Scarpa 2
Dodo 2
Tomas Cuello 2
Edenilson 2
Hyoran 2

Head to Head

2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-07-23 Gremio FBPA 1–0 CA Mineiro 2021-12-10 Gremio FBPA 4–3 CA Mineiro

CA Mineiro Form

2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2024-10-05 CA Mineiro 2–2 EC Vitoria D 2024-09-28 SE Palmeiras 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-09-22 CA Mineiro 3–0 RB Bragantino W 2024-09-18 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Mineiro L

Gremio FBPA Form

2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC W 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA D 2024-09-25 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Criciúma EC L 2024-09-22 Gremio FBPA 3–2 CR Flamengo W 2024-09-15 RB Bragantino 2–2 Gremio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro54% Draw25% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
46%
CA Mineiro or Gremio FBPA
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro38% Draw45% Gremio FBPA17%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.