CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 24 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | EC Vitoria | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | Fluminense FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | RB Bragantino | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | Criciúma EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | CR Flamengo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #15 |
| 36 | Points | 28 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 10 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 32 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 32 |
| +4 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 42% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
CA Mineiro are 8th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/3
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 4 G | 1 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at ARENA MRV as CA Mineiro face off against Gremio FBPA in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It’s high time Gabriel Milito made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 11' GOAL! Hulk fires home to make it 1-0!
- 16' Over 16 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 18' A moment of madness from Lyanco on 18 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
- 23' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
- 24' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alexander Aravena makes it 1-1.
- 29' Jemerson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 47 cards already picked up this season.
- 33' Controversy at the stadium! Jemerson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 35' Controversy at the stadium! Agustin Marchesin argues furiously but the card stands.
- 39' What composure from Deyverson! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 48' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Lyanco by Bruno Fuchs on 48 minute.
- 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 54' Deyverson was booked on 54.
- 55' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
- 60' A quiet spell here at ARENA MRV. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 65' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 66' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 66 minute. Igor leaves to be changed by Diego Costa.
- 71' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 76' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 77' Miguel Monsalve is replacing Franco Cristaldo for the Gremio FBPA side.
- 78' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Jemerson has done his job and it is now time for Cristian Pavon to step up.
- 80' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Deyverson is replaced by Mariano on 80 minute.
- 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 86' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Joao Pedro Pepe is replaced by Ronald.
- 87' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 87 minute. Alexander Aravena leaves to be changed by Mayk.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Hulk argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Hulk departs to be replaced by Alan Kardec.
- It finishes all square. CA Mineiro and Gremio FBPA share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 9
- 6
- 5
- 10
-
2
Lyanco ↓ Bruno Fuchs 48'
- 21
- 26
- 18
- 31
-
7
Hulk ↓ Alan Kardec 90'
- 44
Bench
- 17
- 16
- 4
-
25
Mariano ↑ 80'
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↑ 48'
- 1
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 90'
-
27
Vitinho ↑ 87'
- 40
-
30
Brahian Palacios ↑ 87'
- 47
- 33
Coach
Gabriel Milito
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 17
- 6
- 22
-
28
Jemerson ↓ Cristian Pavon 78'
- 5
- 15
- 10
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↓ Ronald 86'
- 1
-
34
Igor ↓ Diego Costa 66'
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↓ Mayk 87'
Bench
- 3
- 97
- 14
- 30
-
19
Diego Costa ↑ 66'
-
21
Cristian Pavon ↑ 78'
-
26
Mayk ↑ 87'
- 37
- 36
- 33
-
35
Ronald ↑ 86'
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 77'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Keno | 3 |
| Tomas Cuello | 2 |
| Edenilson | 2 |
| Hyoran | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Jaminton Campaz | 2 |
| Alexander Aravena | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
78%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
47%
CA Mineiro or Gremio FBPA
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

