SE Palmeiras vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex Gomes Stefano (Brazil)
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Jun | Al Ahly SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Jun | SC Internacional | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Ceará SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #7 |
| 57 | Points | 40 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 16 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 47 | Scored | 36 |
| 21 | Conceded | 32 |
| +26 | GD | +4 |
| 2.04 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 57% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SE Palmeiras is hosting CA Mineiro for another epic battle.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 9' It’s gonna be a card for Gabriel Menino.
- 14' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 19' Brazil international Hulk has been a key figure this campaign — 4 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 24' The 28-year-old Joaquin Piquerez has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 29' It’s high time Cuca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 32' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Gabriel Menino exits the field as Romulo enters on 32.
- 33' Lucas Evangelista adds to his 0 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lyanco on 35 minutes.
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 41' It’s gonna be a card for Anibal Moreno.
- 42' Brilliant from the forward! Hulk makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 42.
- 44' It’s gonna be a card for Romulo.
- 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 51' Junior Alonso makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and CA Mineiro are in front.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rony suffering a number of foals already.
- 59' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Guilherme Arana by Caio Paulista on 59 minute.
- 63' Ramon Sosa gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Felipe Anderson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' The referee has no hesitation. Bruno Fuchs is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 65.
- 69' CA Mineiro make a change. Igor Gomes trudges off to be replaced by Bernard on 69 minutes.
- 70' CA Mineiro make a change. Natanael trudges off to be replaced by Renzo Saravia on 70 minutes.
- 75' SE Palmeiras have won 590 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 77' Mauricio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 81' Emiliano Martinez is replacing Anibal Moreno for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 85' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Facundo Torres Perez is replaced by Raphael Veiga.
- 90' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CA Mineiro.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 63'
- 30
- 5
- 3
- 18
- 17
- 22
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Luighi Hanri 81'
- 4
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 85'
- 12
- 2
- 14
- 6
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 81'
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 63'
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 81'
- 37
- 39
-
40
Allan ↑ 81'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Bernard 69'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Junior Santos 59'
- 6
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↓ Caio Paulista 59'
- 4
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Romulo 32'
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Renzo Saravia 70'
- 7
Bench
- 16
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 59'
-
38
Caio Paulista ↑ 59'
-
11
Bernard ↑ 69'
- 14
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↑ 70'
- 1
- 30
-
47
Romulo ↑ 32'
- 23
- 31
- 19
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Henrique | 5 |
| Hulk | 5 |
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Wesley | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
80%
Draw or CA Mineiro
45%
SE Palmeiras or CA Mineiro
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

