Friday , 16 October 2026

CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
CA Mineiro
1 – 3
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sun 17 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Reinier 19' Y
Y 28' Carlos Vinicius
R 65' Carlos Vinicius
Tomas Cuello 76' R
Hulk 85' Y
Junior Alonso 90' R
Y 90' Andre
R 90' Dodi

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

7
1
10
CA Mineiro 18 games · Avg 3.3 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Gremio FBPA 2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug Gremio FBPA H 1–3 L
10 Aug CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
03 Aug RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
27 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
20 Jul SE Palmeiras A 2–3 L
13 Jul EC Bahia A 1–2 L
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Aug CA Mineiro A 3–1 W
10 Aug SC Recife H 0–1 L
03 Aug Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
29 Jul Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
27 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Gremio FBPA
#7 Position #18
47 Points 31
30 Played 30
13 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
41 Scored 32
35 Conceded 40
+6 GD -8
1.57 PPG 1.03
43% Win % 23%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

CA Mineiro are 7th (47 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! CA Mineiro welcome Gremio FBPA for this crunch clash at Mineirao.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ronald, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 19' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Reinier will be fuming at that decision.
  • 24' Gremio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 28' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
  • 38' Gustavo Scarpa doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' Against the run of play, Edenilson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 45' Dodi gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Mathias Villasanti and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' The 29-year-old Guilherme Arana has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 58' Magnificent from Fabian Balbuena! That is 17 goals in 349 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 60' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Reinier by Rony on 60 minute.
  • 65' It’s gonna be a card for Carlos Vinicius.
  • 68' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Natanael exits the field as Gabriel Teixeira enters on 68.
  • 73' Alex Santana is replacing Gustavo Cuellar for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 76' That looks like a foul for a card for Tomas Cuello.
  • 81' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 83' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Alexsander Gomes exits the field as Igor Gomes enters on 83.
  • 84' Andre has so much to prove this time. He replaces Edenilson on 84 minute.
  • 85' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
  • 85' Alexander Aravena is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cristian Olivera at the 85 minute mark.
  • 90' What a strike from Alexander Aravena! The score is 1-3.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Junior Alonso on 90 minutes earns him a card. CA Mineiro will be frustrated.
  • Another three points for Gremio FBPA.

Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cuca

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Eduardo Vargas 4
Keno 3
Edenilson 2
Hyoran 2
Hulk 2
Jaminton Campaz 2
Alexander Aravena 2
Diego Souza 2

Head to Head

2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Gremio FBPA 2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA

CA Mineiro Form

2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Gremio FBPA L 2025-08-10 CR Vasco da Gama 1–1 CA Mineiro D 2025-08-03 CA Mineiro 2–1 RB Bragantino W 2025-07-27 CR Flamengo 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-07-20 SE Palmeiras 3–2 CA Mineiro L 2025-07-13 EC Bahia 2–1 CA Mineiro L

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Gremio FBPA W 2025-08-10 Gremio FBPA 0–1 SC Recife L 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-07-19 CR Vasco da Gama 1–1 Gremio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: CA Mineiro or Gremio FBPA 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro41% Draw28% Gremio FBPA31%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
69%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
59%
CA Mineiro or Gremio FBPA
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro31% Draw45% Gremio FBPA24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.