CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 24 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | SC Recife | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jul | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #15 |
| 36 | Points | 28 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 10 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 32 | Scored | 27 |
| 28 | Conceded | 32 |
| +4 | GD | -5 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 42% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
CA Mineiro are 8th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/3
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 4 G | 1 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. CA Mineiro is hosting Gremio FBPA for another epic battle.
- 5' Gustavo Cuellar has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 385 appearances.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 19' That is a card for CA Mineiro. Reinier will be fuming at that decision.
- 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Mineiro and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Carlos Vinicius.
- 33' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gremio FBPA backline.
- 38' Gustavo Scarpa makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and CA Mineiro are in front.
- 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Edenilson adds to his 2 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 45' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Mathias Villasanti exits the field as Dodi enters on 45.
- 50' Brazil international Ronald has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's shape.
- 58' GOAL! Fabian Balbuena scores on 58.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Rony. He replaces Reinier on 60 minute.
- 65' Carlos Vinicius catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 65.
- 68' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Natanael is replaced by Gabriel Teixeira on 68 minute.
- 73' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alex Santana is hanging Gustavo Cuellar on the field on 73 minute.
- 76' Tomas Cuello picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 475 games and scored 475 goals.
- 83' CA Mineiro make a change. Alexsander Gomes trudges off to be replaced by Igor Gomes on 83 minutes.
- 84' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Edenilson exits the field as Andre enters on 84.
- 85' Hulk was booked on 85.
- 85' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Cristian Olivera has done his job and it is now time for Alexander Aravena to step up.
- 90' Brilliant from the forward! Alexander Aravena makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 90.
- 90' Poor challenge from Junior Alonso. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 10
- 6
- 13
- 28
- 18
- 21
-
2
Natanael ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 68'
- 7
-
5
Alexsander Gomes ↓ Igor Gomes 83'
-
23
Ivan Roman ↓ Junior Santos 83'
Bench
-
33
Rony ↑ 60'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 83'
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 83'
- 38
- 11
- 14
- 8
- 25
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 68'
- 1
- 30
- 31
Coach
Cuca
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
-
6
Gustavo Cuellar ↓ Alex Santana 73'
- 23
- 13
- 95
- 8
- 1
-
20
Mathias Villasanti ↓ Dodi 45'
- 35
- 99
- 47
Bench
-
17
Dodi ↑ 45'
-
80
Alex Santana ↑ 73'
- 21
- 10
- 9
- 25
- 12
- 3
-
77
Andre ↑ 84'
-
65
Riquelme ↑ 73'
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 85'
- 40
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Keno | 3 |
| Tomas Cuello | 2 |
| Edenilson | 2 |
| Hyoran | 2 |
| Hulk | 2 |
| Jaminton Campaz | 2 |
| Alexander Aravena | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
CA Mineiro or Gremio FBPA 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
68%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
60%
CA Mineiro or Gremio FBPA
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.