Gremio FBPA vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 24 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Vitoria | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | CA Paranaense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Botafogo FR | H | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #8 |
| 28 | Points | 36 |
| 24 | Played | 24 |
| 7 / 7 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 8 |
| 27 | Scored | 32 |
| 32 | Conceded | 28 |
| -5 | GD | +4 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 29% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
25%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). CA Mineiro are 8th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/3
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 4 G | 1 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Grêmio FBPA welcome CA Mineiro for this crunch clash at Arena do Gremio.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lyanco is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Grêmio FBPA.
- 10' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wagner Leonardo suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 33' Gremio FBPA is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matias Arezo on 33.
- 38' Lucas Esteves is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
- 39' The referee calls foul for Wagner Leonardo. He receives a card.
- 44' Grêmio FBPA looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 45' Magnificent from Edenilson! That is 44 goals in 333 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jemerson on 45 minutes.
- 46' Gremio FBPA make a change. Igor trudges off to be replaced by Joao Lucas on 46 minutes.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tomas Cuello, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' Alan Franco, a Ecuador , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 61' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Lucas Esteves by Viery on 61 minute.
- 66' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Gabriel Menino exits the field as Junior Santos enters on 66.
- 71' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 73' Joao Marcelo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hulk on 73 minute.
- 75' The Brazil Rony breaks the deadlock on 75 minutes. 0-3!
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Cristian Pavon. He replaces Francis Amuzu on 77 minute.
- 82' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 85' Natanael makes way for Bernard at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Cristian Pavon on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 25
- 20
- 15
- 3
- 19
- 99
- 34
Bench
- 17
- 5
- 18
- 21
- 10
- 2
- 12
- 53
- 77
- 11
- 44
- 16
Coach
Gustavo Quinteros
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
- 10
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Rubens 73'
- 13
- 4
- 28
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Junior Santos 66'
- 21
- 2
-
7
Hulk ↓ Joao Marcelo 73'
Bench
- 17
- 16
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 66'
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 85'
- 14
- 26
- 8
-
44
Rubens ↑ 73'
- 1
- 20
-
19
Joao Marcelo ↑ 73'
Coach
Cuca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eduardo Vargas | 4 |
| Keno | 3 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | 2 |
| Dodo | 2 |
| Tomas Cuello | 2 |
| Edenilson | 2 |
| Hyoran | 2 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
67%
Draw or CA Mineiro
60%
Gremio FBPA or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.