Saturday , 18 July 2026

Gremio FBPA vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
2 – 1
Full Time
CA Mineiro
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 21:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Wagner Leonardo 39' Y
Jemerson 45' Y
Cristian Pavon 90' Y
Cristian Olivera 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 19 32
4 RB Bragantino 19 30
5 CA Paranaense 18 30
6 EC Bahia 18 29
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 Botafogo FR 18 25
10 EC Vitoria 18 25
11 CA Mineiro 18 24
12 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
13 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 19 21
16 Gremio FBPA 19 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 19 20
18 Mirassol FC 18 19
19 Clube do Remo 18 18
20 Chapecoense AF 18 9

Head-to-Head

10
1
6
Gremio FBPA 17 games · Avg 3.3 goals CA Mineiro
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-07-23 Gremio FBPA 1–0 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
08 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–3 L
04 Dec EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
01 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
28 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
20 Nov EC Juventude H 2–2 D
CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
08 Dec CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
04 Dec CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
30 Nov Botafogo FR H 1–3 L
27 Nov EC Juventude H 2–3 L
24 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA CA Mineiro
#16 Position #11
21 Points 24
19 Played 18
5 / 6 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 8
21 Scored 22
25 Conceded 23
-4 GD -1
1.11 PPG 1.33
26% Win % 39%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
37% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Gremio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). CA Mineiro are 11th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: CA Mineiro gets underway.
  • 5' Rony has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 473 games and scored 472 goals.
  • 25' CA Mineiro seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' Matias Arezo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 33 minutes.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 39' It’s gonna be a card for Wagner Leonardo.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' GOAL! Edenilson fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 45' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Joao Lucas. He replaces Igor on 46 minute.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 56' Everson, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Lucas Esteves departs to be replaced by Viery.
  • 66' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 66 minute. Gabriel Menino leaves to be changed by Junior Santos.
  • 71' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Marcelo is hanging Hulk on the field on 73 minute.
  • 75' A stunning finish from Rony — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 77' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Cristian Pavon on, Francis Amuzu off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gustavo Quinteros might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 85' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Natanael is withdrawn and Bernard gets his opportunity.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Cristian Pavon on 90 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • Grêmio FBPA celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cuca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Eduardo Vargas 4
Keno 3
Edenilson 2
Hyoran 2
Hulk 2
Jaminton Campaz 2
Alexander Aravena 2
Diego Souza 2

Head to Head

2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-07-23 Gremio FBPA 1–0 CA Mineiro

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W 2024-12-08 Gremio FBPA 0–3 SC Corinthians Paulista L 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2024-11-20 Gremio FBPA 2–2 EC Juventude D

CA Mineiro Form

2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2024-12-08 CA Mineiro 1–0 CA Paranaense W 2024-12-04 CR Vasco da Gama 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-11-30 CA Mineiro 1–3 Botafogo FR L 2024-11-27 CA Mineiro 2–3 EC Juventude L 2024-11-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA42% Draw27% CA Mineiro31%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
69%
Draw or CA Mineiro
58%
Gremio FBPA or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA27% Draw46% CA Mineiro27%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.