Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
2 – 1
Full Time
CA Mineiro
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 21:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Wagner Leonardo 39' Y
Jemerson 45' Y
Cristian Pavon 90' Y
Cristian Olivera 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

10
1
7
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 3.3 goals CA Mineiro
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-07-23 Gremio FBPA 1–0 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
08 Dec SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–3 L
04 Dec EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
01 Dec Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
28 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
20 Nov EC Juventude H 2–2 D
CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
08 Dec CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
04 Dec CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
30 Nov Botafogo FR H 1–3 L
27 Nov EC Juventude H 2–3 L
24 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA CA Mineiro
#18 Position #7
31 Points 47
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 9
32 Scored 41
40 Conceded 35
-8 GD +6
1.03 PPG 1.57
23% Win % 43%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro has kicked off!
  • 5' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Gabriel Menino, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Grêmio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 33' What composure from Matias Arezo! The Uruguay international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
  • 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wagner Leonardo on 39.
  • 44' It’s high time Cuca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' Edenilson does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
  • 45' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Jemerson gets a card.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Igor as he leaves the pitch. Joao Lucas steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 51' The travelling CA Mineiro supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' CA Mineiro have won 487 goals from 483 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' The whistle greets Lucas Esteves as he departs to be replaced by Viery.
  • 66' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Gabriel Menino by Junior Santos on 66 minute.
  • 71' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Hulk as he leaves the pitch. Joao Marcelo steps in for CA Mineiro.
  • 75' Rony makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and CA Mineiro are in front.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Francis Amuzu is replaced by Cristian Pavon.
  • 82' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Cristian Olivera made 298 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 85' Bernard has so much to prove this time. He replaces Natanael on 85 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Cristian Pavon on 90 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gustavo Quinteros

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Cuca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Eduardo Vargas 4
Keno 3
Gustavo Scarpa 2
Dodo 2
Tomas Cuello 2
Edenilson 2
Hyoran 2
Hulk 2

Head to Head

2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro 2023-11-26 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-07-23 Gremio FBPA 1–0 CA Mineiro

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W 2024-12-08 Gremio FBPA 0–3 SC Corinthians Paulista L 2024-12-04 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2024-11-20 Gremio FBPA 2–2 EC Juventude D

CA Mineiro Form

2025-03-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2024-12-08 CA Mineiro 1–0 CA Paranaense W 2024-12-04 CR Vasco da Gama 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-11-30 CA Mineiro 1–3 Botafogo FR L 2024-11-27 CA Mineiro 2–3 EC Juventude L 2024-11-24 Sao Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or CA Mineiro 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA39% Draw27% CA Mineiro34%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
66%
Draw or CA Mineiro
61%
Gremio FBPA or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA25% Draw46% CA Mineiro29%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.