Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | SC Recife | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Aug | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jul | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Jul | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Jul | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gremio FBPA launch into their encounter with SC Recife.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joao Silva suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' Alysson is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
- 30' SC Recife started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gremio FBPA and SC Recife are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 36' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gremio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' Edenilson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 38 cards already picked up this season.
- 51' Matheusinho does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Recife surge ahead!
- 56' Chrystian Barletta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 58' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Cristian Olivera is replaced by Carlos Vinicius on 58 minute.
- 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Martin Braithwaite is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
- 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dodi, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 69' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Leo Augusto by Chrystian Barletta on 69 minute.
- 74' Pablo Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gremio FBPA so far.
- 78' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Matheusinho is withdrawn and Pedro Augusto gets his opportunity.
- 83' SC Recife is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Francis Amuzu comes on to replace Camilo.
- 86' It’s gonna be a card for Martin Braithwaite.
- 89' ze Lucas makes way for Joao Silva at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Recife players.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
- 13
- 22
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 3
- 99
- 65
- 47
Bench
- 6
- 80
- 21
- 95
- 10
- 9
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 35
- 44
- 16
Coach
Mano Menezes
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 40
- 15
- 16
- 10
- 33
- 38
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Pablo Felipe 89'
-
17
Matheusinho ↓ Pedro Augusto 78'
- 14
-
58
ze Lucas ↓ Joao Silva 89'
Bench
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↑ 89'
- 19
- 11
- 22
- 9
-
28
Pedro Augusto ↑ 78'
- 3
-
6
Joao Silva ↑ 89'
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 69'
- 13
- 20
Coach
Daniel Paulista
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jair | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Pepe | 2 |
| Matheus Henrique | 1 |
| Douglas Costa | 1 |
| Thonny Anderson | 1 |
| Mikael | 1 |
| Juninho Capixaba | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.07
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
SC Recife xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or SC Recife 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Recife win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Recife
68%
Gremio FBPA or SC Recife
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | SC Recife covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
