Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

0 – 1
Full Time
Sun 10 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs SC Recife — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug SC Recife H 0–1 L
03 Aug Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
29 Jul Fortaleza EC H 2–1 W
27 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–0 W
02 Aug EC Bahia H 0–0 D
26 Jul Santos FC H 2–2 D
24 Jul EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
20 Jul Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
14 Jul EC Juventude A 0–2 L

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Gremio FBPA launch into their encounter with SC Recife.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The travelling SC Recife supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joao Silva suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Alysson is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
  • 30' SC Recife started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gremio FBPA and SC Recife are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 36' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gremio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' Edenilson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 38 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' Matheusinho does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Recife surge ahead!
  • 56' Chrystian Barletta has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Cristian Olivera is replaced by Carlos Vinicius on 58 minute.
  • 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Martin Braithwaite is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dodi, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 69' Another substitution for SC Recife to replace Leo Augusto by Chrystian Barletta on 69 minute.
  • 74' Pablo Felipe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gremio FBPA so far.
  • 78' The SC Recife bench stirs into life. Matheusinho is withdrawn and Pedro Augusto gets his opportunity.
  • 83' SC Recife is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Francis Amuzu comes on to replace Camilo.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a card for Martin Braithwaite.
  • 89' ze Lucas makes way for Joao Silva at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Recife.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Recife players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.07 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 SC Recife xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or SC Recife 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA32% Draw31% SC Recife37%
Actual: SC Recife win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Recife
68%
Gremio FBPA or SC Recife
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA23% Draw52% SC Recife25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push SC Recife covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.