Wednesday , 14 October 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Mon 31 Aug 2026 · 19:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 59' Bukayo Saka

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Adrian Gillett (England)
  • Assistant 1 Neil Davies
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Arsenal FC H 0–1 L
23 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–4 L
24 May Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
20 May SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
15 May Liverpool FC H 4–2 W
10 May Burnley FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Aston Villa FC A 1–0 W
21 Aug Coventry City FC H 3–0 W
30 May Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–0 D
24 May Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
18 May Burnley FC H 1–0 W
10 May West Ham United FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Arsenal FC
#16 Position #2
5 Points 15
6 Played 6
1 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 1
6 Scored 10
11 Conceded 5
-5 GD +5
0.83 PPG 2.50
17% Win % 83%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
50% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (5 pts). Arsenal FC are 2nd (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Villa Park will turn into a battlefield for Aston Villa FC and Arsenal FC.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Arsenal FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Arsenal FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Eberechi Eze has been relatively quiet despite scoring 63 goals in his last 386 appearances.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 29' The referee shows Arsenal FC player a card on 29.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Arsenal FC! Eberechi Eze comes on to replace Christos Tzolis.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' Aston Villa FC have won 505 goals from 361 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 59' Bukayo Saka doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 64' Arsenal FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' Over 69 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' Another change for Arsenal FC made on 71 minute. Myles Lewis-Skelly leaves to be changed by Bruno Guimaraes.
  • 76' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 78' Aaron Wan-Bissaka gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Matty Cash and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Arsenal FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ezri Konsa is hanging Cristhian Mosquera on the field on 79 minute.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Alysson on 81 minutes earns him a card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
  • 85' A change in the Arsenal FC ranks — Declan Rice exits the field as Martin Zubimendi enters on 85.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Ian Maatsen is booked for Aston Villa FC — card on 90.
  • 0-1 the final result. Aston Villa FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.79 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC20% Draw26% Arsenal FC54%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
46%
Draw or Arsenal FC
80%
Aston Villa FC or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC13% Draw46% Arsenal FC41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
11.8%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 3
6.8%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 41% — 59%
+1 41% 25% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 19% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.