Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 10 May 2026 · 13:00 UTC Turf Moor 21,196 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jaidon Anthony 8' 1–0
1–1 42' Ross Barkley
1–2 56' Ollie Watkins
Zian Flemming 58' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Taylor
  • Assistant 1 Gary Beswick
  • Assistant 2 Adam Nunn
19 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 8.9 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D
01 May Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
22 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
19 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–2 L
21 Mar Fulham FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Burnley FC A 2–2 D
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W
03 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L
30 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC A 0–1 L
19 Apr Sunderland AFC H 4–3 W

Season Stats

Burnley FC Aston Villa FC
#2 Position #11
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Turf Moor that hosts another battle between Burnley FC and Aston Villa FC.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 8' Goal! Jaidon Anthony scores his 23 goal in 335 matches.
  • 13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Aston Villa FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 38' GOAL! Ollie Watkins scores on 38. Assisted by Morgan Rogers
  • 42' Ross Barkley puts Aston Villa FC on the lead.
  • 47' Burnley FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 49' It’s a booking for Aston Villa FC player. Tyrone Mings gets a card.
  • 54' Aston Villa FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Ross Barkley scoring 1 goals.
  • 56' GOAL! Ollie Watkins scores on 56.
  • 58' Goal! Zian Flemming scores his 70 goal in 232 matches.
  • 60' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 60.
  • 65' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 355 games and scored 497 goals.
  • 75' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 80' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Tyrone Mings has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 85' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Supporters expect more eagerness from Axel Tuanzebe, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.65 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC27% Draw37% Aston Villa FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 45%
55%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
73%
Burnley FC or Aston Villa FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC15% Draw62% Aston Villa FC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
24.8%
0 – 1
17.3%
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 1
4%
0 – 3
2.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
1.6%
3 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 17% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 23% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.