Friday , 9 October 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2026-27
Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 13:00 UTC Amex Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Maxim De Cuyper 18' 2–0
Jack Hinshelwood 30' 3–0
Jack Hinshelwood 31' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Amex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Aston Villa FC H 4–0 W
24 May Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
17 May Leeds United FC A 0–1 L
09 May Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
02 May Newcastle United FC A 1–3 L
21 Apr Chelsea FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–4 L
24 May Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
20 May SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
15 May Liverpool FC H 4–2 W
10 May Burnley FC A 2–2 D
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Aston Villa FC
#3 Position #16
10 Points 4
5 Played 5
3 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
16 Scored 4
5 Conceded 9
+11 GD -5
2.00 PPG 0.80
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 3rd (10 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.41 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Brighton & Hove Albion FC to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC68% Draw17% Aston Villa FC15%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 4.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
32%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Aston Villa FC
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC62% Draw29% Aston Villa FC9%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
7%
4 – 1
6.7%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
4.9%
5 – 1
4.6%
5 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 43% — 57%
-2 43% 20% 37%
-1.5 63% — 37%
-1 63% 17% 20%
-0.5 80% — 20%
+0.5 92% — 8%
+1 92% 5% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.