Sunday , 15 November 2026

Arsenal FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 17:30 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,067 HT 45' · FT 45'
Martinelli 35' 1–0
Kai Havertz 55' 2–0
2–1 60' Youri Tielemans
2–2 68' Ollie Watkins

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Neil Davies
9 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 16.0 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D
15 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
12 Jan Manchester United FC H 3–5 L
04 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Brentford FC A 3–1 W
27 Dec Ipswich Town FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–2 D
15 Jan Everton FC A 1–0 W
10 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
04 Jan Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
30 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Aston Villa FC
#1 Position #10
27 Points 13
10 Played 10
9 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
15 Scored 14
5 Conceded 17
+10 GD -3
2.70 PPG 1.30
90% Win % 30%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
70% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Arsenal FC are 1st (27 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Arsenal FC welcome Aston Villa FC for this crunch clash at Emirates Stadium.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Arsenal FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Arsenal FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
  • 20' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ian Maatsen.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lamare Bogarde suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mikel Arteta on 30.
  • 35' GOAL! Martinelli scores on 35. Assisted by Leandro Trossard
  • 37' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Amadou Onana exits the field as Lamare Bogarde enters on 37.
  • 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Digne. He replaces Ian Maatsen on 46 minute.
  • 51' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kai Havertz makes it 2-0.
  • 60' Assisted by Lucas Digne with the perfectly-timed delivery and Youri Tielemans makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 63' Unai Emery picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 67' Arsenal FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' The deadlock is broken! Ollie Watkins gets on the scoresheet on 68 minutes.
  • 73' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tyrone Mings is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Boubacar Kamara argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Aston Villa FC — Jhon Duran on, Ollie Watkins off on 79 minutes.
  • 82' Arsenal FC ring the changes. Martinelli has done his job and it is now time for Raheem Sterling to step up.
  • 85' Leon Bailey gets the nod from Aston Villa FC. He replaces Jacob Ramsey and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Raheem Sterling on 90 minutes earns him a card. Arsenal FC will be frustrated.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC53% Draw25% Aston Villa FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
47%
Arsenal FC or Aston Villa FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC40% Draw44% Aston Villa FC16%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.