Sunday , 16 August 2026

Arsenal FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 30 Dec 2025 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Aston Villa FC H 4–1 W
27 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Everton FC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
10 Dec Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
06 Dec Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Arsenal FC A 1–4 L
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec Manchester United FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec West Ham United FC A 3–2 W
11 Dec FC Basel 1893 A 2–1 W
06 Dec Arsenal FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Aston Villa FC
#8 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Arsenal FC are 8th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Arsenal FC to score. At the same time, Aston Villa FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC46% Draw31% Aston Villa FC23%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
54%
Arsenal FC or Aston Villa FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC29% Draw56% Aston Villa FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
17.4%
1 – 0
16%
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 25% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
48%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.