AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
20 games this season 🟨 0.3/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 PSV 34 84 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 34 65 3 NEC 34 59 4 FC Twente '65 34 58 5 AFC Ajax 34 56 6 FC Utrecht 34 53 7 AZ 34 52 8 SC Heerenveen 34 51 9 FC Groningen 34 48 10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 43 11 Fortuna Sittard 34 39 12 Go Ahead Eagles 34 38 13 SBV Excelsior 34 38 14 Telstar 1963 34 37 15 PEC Zwolle 34 37 16 FC Volendam 34 32 17 NAC Breda 34 29 18 Heracles Almelo 34 19 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 27 Sep NAC Breda H 2–1 W 21 Sep PSV A 2–2 D 17 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L 13 Sep PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W 30 Aug FC Volendam A 1–1 D 24 Aug Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 27 Sep AFC Ajax A 1–2 L 20 Sep Heracles Almelo H 2–1 W 13 Sep FC Twente '65 A 2–2 D 31 Aug AZ H 0–1 L 24 Aug NEC A 0–3 L 17 Aug Fortuna Sittard H 2–1 W Season Stats
AFC Ajax NAC Breda #5 Position #17 56 Points 29 34 Played 34 14 / 14 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 11 / 17 62 Scored 35 41 Conceded 58 +21 GD -23 1.65 PPG 0.85 41% Win % 18% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season18% Clean Sheets
NAC Breda this seasonAFC Ajax are 5th (56 pts). NAC Breda are 17th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax0-151/116-303/131-452/–46-601/–61-75–/–76+2/4■ Scored ■ ConcededNAC Breda0-15–/216-30–/131-451/146-60–/161-753/–76+2/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
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Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Dusan Tadic 2 Steven Berghuis 1 Kenneth Taylor 1 Hakim Ziyech 1 Jorthy Mokio 1 Kasper Dolberg 1 Leo Sauer 1 Gervane Kastaneer 1 Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 42.32 AFC Ajax xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.88 NAC Breda xGI would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 61%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.2Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 94% 6% ± 1.5 82% 18% ± 2.5 61% 39% ± 3.5 39% 61% ± 4.5 22% 78% Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw 86%Draw or NAC Breda 34%AFC Ajax or NAC Breda 80%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 0 10.9%2 – 1 Actual1 – 1 9.1%1 – 0 9%3 – 0 8.2%3 – 1 7.2%0 – 0 5.5%4 – 0 4.7%4 – 1 4.2%2 – 2 4.1%1 – 2 3.6%3 – 2 3.2%Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push NAC Breda covers -2.5 25% — 75% -2 25% 20% 54% -1.5 46% — 54% -1 46% 22% 32% -0.5 68% — 32% +0.5 88% — 12% +1 88% 8% 4% +1.5 96% — 4% +2 96% 3% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet 42% ✓NAC Breda keeps clean sheet 11% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.