Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
5 0
Full Time
Sun 17 Feb 2019 · 11:15 UTC Johan Cruyff ArenA HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Johan Cruyff ArenA.

Match Details

  • Referee Johan Balder
  • Referee Rob Dieperink
  • Referee Siemen Mulder
  • Referee Richard Martens
  • Referee Richard Brondijk

Head-to-Head

5
1
AFC Ajax 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals NAC Breda

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb NAC Breda H 5–0 W
13 Feb Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
09 Feb Heracles Almelo A 0–1 L
02 Feb VVV Venlo H 6–0 W
27 Jan Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–6 L
20 Jan SC Heerenveen H 4–4 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb AFC Ajax A 0–5 L
08 Feb AZ H 0–3 L
01 Feb VBV De Graafschap A 0–3 L
25 Jan ADO Den Haag H 1–1 D
20 Jan Willem II Tilburg A 0–2 L
22 Dec SC Heerenveen H 4–2 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Johan Cruyff ArenA. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Matthijs de Ligt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Nicolas Tagliafico is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. NAC Breda is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' NAC Breda is showing some good football. However, NAC Breda are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 36' The referee has no hesitation. Gianluca Nijholt is booked for NAC Breda — Yellow card on 36.
  • 38' GOAL! Dusan Tadic fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Dorian Dervite.
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering NAC Breda that had 103 games and scored 74 goals.
  • 46' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 46 minute. Lasse Schone leaves to be changed by Kasper Dolberg.
  • 51' NAC Breda come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' Brilliant from the ! Kasper Dolberg makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 53.
  • 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
  • 59' The deadlock is broken! Gervane Kastaneer gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
  • 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 65' Poor challenge from Hakim Ziyech. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 67' GOAL! Dusan Tadic scores on 67.
  • 71' Erik Palmer-Brown does the damage! The net is bulging and NAC Breda surge ahead!
  • 73' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 73 minute. Dusan Tadic leaves to be changed by Jurgen Ekkelenkamp.
  • 76' A change in the NAC Breda ranks — Dorian Dervite exits the field as Daan Klomp enters on 76.
  • 79' Robert Muhren is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gervane Kastaneer at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 88' Fresh legs for NAC Breda! Giovanni Korte comes on to replace Mikhael Rosheuvel.
  • 90' Menno Koch has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.65 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 NAC Breda xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax72% Draw17% NAC Breda11%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
89%
Draw or NAC Breda
28%
AFC Ajax or NAC Breda
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax57% Draw35% NAC Breda8%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.1%
3 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6.8%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.7%
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3%
5 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push NAC Breda covers
-2.5 35% 65%
-2 35% 22% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 21% 23%
-0.5 77% 23%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
49%
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.