AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Johan Balder
- Referee Rob Dieperink
- Referee Siemen Mulder
- Referee Richard Martens
- Referee Richard Brondijk
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb | NAC Breda | H | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Feb | Real Madrid CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Feb | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Feb | VVV Venlo | H | 6–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 2–6 | L |
| 20 Jan | SC Heerenveen | H | 4–4 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 0–5 | L |
| 08 Feb | AZ | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | VBV De Graafschap | A | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Jan | ADO Den Haag | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | Willem II Tilburg | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Dec | SC Heerenveen | H | 4–2 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Johan Cruyff ArenA. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Matthijs de Ligt has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Nicolas Tagliafico is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. NAC Breda is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' NAC Breda is showing some good football. However, NAC Breda are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 36' The referee has no hesitation. Gianluca Nijholt is booked for NAC Breda — Yellow card on 36.
- 38' GOAL! Dusan Tadic fires home to make it 1-0!
- 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Dorian Dervite.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering NAC Breda that had 103 games and scored 74 goals.
- 46' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 46 minute. Lasse Schone leaves to be changed by Kasper Dolberg.
- 51' NAC Breda come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 53' Brilliant from the ! Kasper Dolberg makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 53.
- 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
- 59' The deadlock is broken! Gervane Kastaneer gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
- 64' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 65' Poor challenge from Hakim Ziyech. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 67' GOAL! Dusan Tadic scores on 67.
- 71' Erik Palmer-Brown does the damage! The net is bulging and NAC Breda surge ahead!
- 73' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 73 minute. Dusan Tadic leaves to be changed by Jurgen Ekkelenkamp.
- 76' A change in the NAC Breda ranks — Dorian Dervite exits the field as Daan Klomp enters on 76.
- 79' Robert Muhren is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gervane Kastaneer at the 79 minute mark.
- 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 88' Fresh legs for NAC Breda! Giovanni Korte comes on to replace Mikhael Rosheuvel.
- 90' Menno Koch has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
- With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
- 10
-
20
Lasse Schone ↓ Kasper Dolberg 46'
- 22
- 24
- 4
- 12
- 6
- 21
- 7
- 17
Bench
- 19
- 26
-
3
Joel Veltman ↑ 73'
- 2
- 8
- 30
-
40
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp ↑ 73'
-
25
Kasper Dolberg ↑ 46'
- 9
Coach
Erik ten Hag
NAC Breda Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 17
- 1
- 4
- 28
- 8
- 14
- 46
- 12
- 23
-
25
Dorian Dervite ↓ Daan Klomp 76'
Bench
- 21
- 16
- 27
- 26
- 5
-
24
Daan Klomp ↑ 76'
-
7
Giovanni Korte ↑ 88'
-
11
Robert Muhren ↑ 79'
- 29
- 19
Coach
Mitchell van der Gaag
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Mika Godts | 1 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 1 |
| Jethro Mashart | 1 |
| Steven Berghuis | 1 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 1 |
| Hakim Ziyech | 1 |
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.65
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
89%
Draw or NAC Breda
28%
AFC Ajax or NAC Breda
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.1%
3 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6.8%
4 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.7%
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3%
5 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -2 | 35% | 22% | 44% |
| -1.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| -1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| -0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

