AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2024-25

AFC Ajax

3 – 1

Full Time

NAC Breda

Sun 6 Apr 2025 · 14:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 53,420 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 9' Leo Sauer

Kenneth Taylor pen 32' 1–1

Steven Berghuis 35' 2–1

Jorthy Mokio 76' 3–1

Y 31' Roy Kortsmit

Y 62' Leo Greiml

Y 62' Clint Leemans

Jorthy Mokio 69' Y

Y 72' Max Balard

Y 87' Kamal Sowah

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
NAC Breda 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Danny Makkelie
Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
Assistant 2 Jan de Vries

12 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 11.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	7	19
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	7	17
3	PSV	7	16
4	FC Twente '65	7	16
5	AFC Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	SBV Excelsior	7	11
8	FC Groningen	7	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	SC Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar 1963	7	5
14	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	7	5
15	FC Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II Tilburg	7	2

Head-to-Head

AFC Ajax 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals NAC Breda

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-06 AFC Ajax 3–1 NAC Breda 2024-08-18 NAC Breda 2–1 AFC Ajax 2019-02-17 AFC Ajax 5–0 NAC Breda 2018-11-24 NAC Breda 0–3 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	NAC Breda	H	3–1	W
30 Mar	PSV	A	2–0	W
16 Mar	AZ	H	2–2	D
13 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	1–4	L
09 Mar	PEC Zwolle	A	1–0	W
06 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–2	L

NAC Breda

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Apr	AFC Ajax	A	1–3	L
29 Mar	FC Groningen	H	1–1	D
14 Mar	Almere City FC	A	1–1	D
07 Mar	Sparta Rotterdam	H	1–1	D
01 Mar	FC Utrecht	A	0–1	L
15 Feb	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

6/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

5/1

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Ajax

Julian Brandt	4 G
Toluwalas Arokodare	3 G	1 A
Davy Klaassen	3 G
Kasper Dolberg	2 G	2 A
Jorthy Mokio	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Johan Cruijff Arena!
5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
9' The deadlock is broken! Leo Sauer gets on the scoresheet on 9 minutes.
14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
24' Matheus Magalhaes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 431 appearances.
29' NAC Breda come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
31' It’s a booking for NAC Breda player. Roy Kortsmit gets a card.
32' Against the run of play, Kenneth Taylor has scored! This game has turned on its head.
35' What composure from Steven Berghuis! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 2-1.
40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sana Fernandes made 513 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and NAC Breda are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
60' AFC Ajax make a change. Don-Angelo Konadu trudges off to be replaced by Wout Weghorst on 60 minutes.
62' It’s gonna be a card for Leo Greiml.
67' Kamal Sowah is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for NAC Breda tonight.
69' Jorthy Mokio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
72' A moment of madness from Max Balard on 72 minutes earns him a card. NAC Breda will be frustrated.
73' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oliver Edvardsen is hanging Mika Godts on the field on 73 minute.
74' The whistle greets Leo Sauer as he departs to be replaced by Sana Fernandes.
76' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jorthy Mokio makes it 3-1.
81' It looks surprising AFC Ajax does not make any changes. Davy Klaassen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
86' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Kenneth Taylor departs to be replaced by Kian Fitz-Jim.
87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kamal Sowah on 87.
3-1 the final result. NAC Breda will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

18
Davy Klaassen
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Christian Rasmussen 73'
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Jorthy Mokio 60'
37
Josip Sutalo
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 86'
13
Ahmetcan Kaplan
16
Matheus Magalhaes
2
Lucas Rosa
4
Jorrel Hato
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 73'
59
Don-Angelo Konadu ↓ Wout Weghorst 60'

Bench

Coach Francesco Farioli

NAC Breda Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

10
Elias Mar Omarsson ↓ Sydney van Hooijdonk 74'
15
Enes Mahmutovic
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Kacper Kostorz 74'
12
Leo Greiml
5
Jan Van den Bergh
1
Roy Kortsmit
4
Boy Kemper
55
Kamal Sowah
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 74'
16
Max Balard
25
Cherrion Valerius ↓ Adam Kaied 73'

Bench

Coach Carl Hoefkens

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dusan Tadic	2
Mika Godts	1
Klaas-Jan Huntelaar	1
Oscar Gloukh	1
Jethro Mashart	1
Steven Berghuis	1
Kenneth Taylor	1
Hakim Ziyech	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.91 AFC Ajax xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.05 NAC Breda xG

I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AFC Ajax57% Draw23% NAC Breda20%

Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.96

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw

81%

Draw or NAC Breda

43%

AFC Ajax or NAC Breda

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Ajax40% Draw43% NAC Breda17%

Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

9.6%

2 – 0

9.3%

1 – 0

9.2%

0 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

5.8%

1 – 2

5.2%

2 – 2

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.3%

4 – 1

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap	AFC Ajax covers	Push	NAC Breda covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	23%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

NAC Breda Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

AFC Ajax Form

NAC Breda Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Clean Sheet