AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
- Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | PSV | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | AZ | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | FC Groningen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Almere City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC Utrecht | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AFC Ajax and NAC Breda is underway.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 9' GOAL! Leo Sauer scores on 9. Assisted by Jan Van den Bergh
- 14' NAC Breda is showing some good football. However, NAC Breda are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 19' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 480 games and scored 817 goals.
- 29' Mika Godts needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Yellow cards this season.
- 31' That is a card for NAC Breda. Roy Kortsmit will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' Kenneth Taylor is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 35' Brilliant from the ! Steven Berghuis makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 35.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 45' AFC Ajax are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and NAC Breda are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 55' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 60' The crowd applauds Don-Angelo Konadu as he leaves the pitch. Wout Weghorst steps in for AFC Ajax.
- 62' It’s a booking for NAC Breda player. Leo Greiml gets a card.
- 67' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Ajax and NAC Breda are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 69' Jorthy Mokio catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
- 72' That is a card for NAC Breda. Max Balard will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Oliver Edvardsen comes on to replace Mika Godts.
- 74' Another change for NAC Breda made on 74 minute. Leo Sauer leaves to be changed by Sana Fernandes.
- 76' Assisted by Kenneth Taylor with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jorthy Mokio makes no mistake. 3-1!
- 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 86' Time for substitution for AFC Ajax. Kenneth Taylor is replaced by Kian Fitz-Jim.
- 87' It’s gonna be a card for Kamal Sowah.
- AFC Ajax celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 23
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Jorthy Mokio 60'
- 37
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 86'
- 13
- 16
- 2
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 73'
- 59
Bench
- 5
- 6
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 60'
- 24
- 12
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 86'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 73'
-
29
Christian Rasmussen ↑ 73'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 60'
- 36
- 52
- 42
Coach
Francesco Farioli
NAC Breda Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Kacper Kostorz 74'
- 12
- 5
- 1
- 4
- 55
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 74'
- 16
-
25
Cherrion Valerius ↓ Adam Kaied 73'
Bench
-
29
Sydney van Hooijdonk ↑ 74'
- 23
- 31
- 20
- 99
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 74'
- 39
- 6
- 17
- 28
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 74'
-
14
Adam Kaied ↑ 73'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Hakim Ziyech | 1 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
| Gervane Kastaneer | 1 |
| Erik Palmer-Brown | 1 |
| Jorrel Hato | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
81%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
AFC Ajax or NAC Breda
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.