AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
- Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 7.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | PSV | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | AZ | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | FC Groningen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Almere City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC Utrecht | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AFC Ajax is hosting NAC Breda for another epic battle.
- 5' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 9' Leo Sauer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 9 minutes.
- 14' Luxembourg international Enes Mahmutovic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Rosa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
- 24' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 29' Boy Kemper is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
- 31' NAC Breda player sees a card in front of him.
- 32' What a moment for Kenneth Taylor! That strike on 32 puts his side firmly in control.
- 35' A stunning finish from Steven Berghuis — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' AFC Ajax is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 50' It’s high time Francesco Farioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 55' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Wout Weghorst comes on to replace Don-Angelo Konadu.
- 62' Leo Greiml catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 62.
- 67' The travelling NAC Breda supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 69' Jorthy Mokio catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
- 72' That looks like a foul for a card for Max Balard.
- 73' Oliver Edvardsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mika Godts at the 73 minute mark.
- 74' The crowd applauds Leo Sauer as he leaves the pitch. Sana Fernandes steps in for NAC Breda.
- 76' Jorthy Mokio adds to his 0 season tally! AFC Ajax lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
- 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
- 86' AFC Ajax manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kian Fitz-Jim is hanging Kenneth Taylor on the field on 86 minute.
- 87' Kamal Sowah is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 23
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Jorthy Mokio 60'
- 37
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 86'
- 13
- 16
- 2
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 73'
- 59
Bench
- 5
- 6
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 60'
- 24
- 12
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 86'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 73'
-
29
Christian Rasmussen ↑ 73'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 60'
- 36
- 52
- 42
Coach
Francesco Farioli
NAC Breda Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Kacper Kostorz 74'
- 12
- 5
- 1
- 4
- 55
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 74'
- 16
-
25
Cherrion Valerius ↓ Adam Kaied 73'
Bench
-
29
Sydney van Hooijdonk ↑ 74'
- 23
- 31
- 20
- 99
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 74'
- 39
- 6
- 17
- 28
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 74'
-
14
Adam Kaied ↑ 73'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Erik Palmer-Brown | 1 |
| Jorrel Hato | 1 |
| Boy Kemper | 1 |
| Matthew Garbett | 1 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 1 |
| Mika Godts | 1 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
81%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
AFC Ajax or NAC Breda
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.