AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
- Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | NAC Breda | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | PSV | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | AZ | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | FC Groningen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Almere City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC Utrecht | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AFC Ajax to score. At the same time, NAC Breda does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' AFC Ajax currently sit 1 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 9' Against the run of play, Leo Sauer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' The travelling NAC Breda supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jan Van den Bergh suffering a number of foals already.
- 24' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 31' That is a card for NAC Breda. Roy Kortsmit will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' Kenneth Taylor does the damage! The net is bulging and AFC Ajax surge ahead!
- 35' The deadlock is broken! Steven Berghuis gets on the scoresheet on 35 minutes.
- 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Don-Angelo Konadu, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Ajax side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 50' NAC Breda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and NAC Breda are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Don-Angelo Konadu departs to be replaced by Wout Weghorst.
- 62' NAC Breda player sees a card in front of him.
- 67' Bertrand Traore is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
- 69' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Jorthy Mokio gets a card.
- 72' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Max Balard on 72 minutes.
- 73' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Mika Godts exits the field as Oliver Edvardsen enters on 73.
- 74' NAC Breda ring the changes. Leo Sauer has done his job and it is now time for Sana Fernandes to step up.
- 76' Jorthy Mokio doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 81' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Ajax and NAC Breda are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 86' Kian Fitz-Jim is replacing Kenneth Taylor for the AFC Ajax side.
- 87' It’s a booking for NAC Breda player. Kamal Sowah gets a card.
- NAC Breda will have plenty to reflect on. AFC Ajax were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 18
- 23
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Jorthy Mokio 60'
- 37
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↓ Kian Fitz-Jim 86'
- 13
- 16
- 2
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 73'
- 59
Bench
- 5
- 6
-
25
Wout Weghorst ↑ 60'
- 24
- 12
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 86'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 73'
-
29
Christian Rasmussen ↑ 73'
-
31
Jorthy Mokio ↑ 60'
- 36
- 52
- 42
Coach
Francesco Farioli
NAC Breda Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Kacper Kostorz 74'
- 12
- 5
- 1
- 4
- 55
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 74'
- 16
-
25
Cherrion Valerius ↓ Adam Kaied 73'
Bench
-
29
Sydney van Hooijdonk ↑ 74'
- 23
- 31
- 20
- 99
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 74'
- 39
- 6
- 17
- 28
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 74'
-
14
Adam Kaied ↑ 73'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Boy Kemper | 1 |
| Matthew Garbett | 1 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 1 |
| Mika Godts | 1 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 1 |
| Jethro Mashart | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.91
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
81%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
AFC Ajax or NAC Breda
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.