Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs PEC Zwolle, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
3 – 1
Full Time
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs PEC Zwolle — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Van der Eijk
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W
30 Aug FC Volendam A 1–1 D
24 Aug Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W
17 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 2–2 D
10 Aug Telstar 1963 H 2–0 W
18 May FC Twente '65 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep AFC Ajax A 1–3 L
31 Aug FC Utrecht H 0–2 L
15 Aug Telstar 1963 A 2–0 W
10 Aug FC Twente '65 H 1–0 W
18 May FC Groningen H 2–0 W
14 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W

Season Stats

AFC Ajax PEC Zwolle
#5 Position #16
14 Points 4
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
21 Scored 6
9 Conceded 20
+12 GD -14
2.00 PPG 0.57
57% Win % 14%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
14% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). PEC Zwolle are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PEC Zwolle
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/5
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
Koen Kostons 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

PEC Zwolle Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.66 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 PEC Zwolle xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 80% + Over 2.5 goals 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax80% Draw12% PEC Zwolle8%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 4.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
92%
Draw or PEC Zwolle
20%
AFC Ajax or PEC Zwolle
88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax69% Draw26% PEC Zwolle5%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
10.2%
4 – 0
9.1%
2 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
6.7%
5 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
5 – 1
5%
1 – 0
4.9%
6 – 0
4.1%
1 – 1
4%
6 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push PEC Zwolle covers
-2.5 53% — 47%
-2 53% 19% 28%
-1.5 72% — 28%
-1 72% 15% 13%
-0.5 87% — 13%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
48% ✓
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.