Thursday , 2 July 2026

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Heracles Almelo H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Twente '65 A 2–2 D
31 Aug AZ H 0–1 L
24 Aug NEC A 0–3 L
17 Aug Fortuna Sittard H 2–1 W
09 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep NAC Breda A 1–2 L
14 Sep AZ H 1–2 L
29 Aug FC Groningen A 0–4 L
24 Aug AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
16 Aug NEC H 1–4 L
10 Aug FC Utrecht A 0–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

NAC Breda Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda51% Draw27% Heracles Almelo22%
Actual: NAC Breda win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
78%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
49%
NAC Breda or Heracles Almelo
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda34% Draw48% Heracles Almelo18%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
38%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.