AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NAC Breda — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Marc Nagtegaal
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | NAC Breda | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | PSV | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | PEC Zwolle | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Volendam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Heracles Almelo | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | AFC Ajax | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | Heracles Almelo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | FC Twente '65 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | AZ | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | NEC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Fortuna Sittard | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Matthew Garbett | 1 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 1 |
| Mika Godts | 1 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 1 |
| Jethro Mashart | 1 |
| Steven Berghuis | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
NAC Breda xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
80%
Draw or NAC Breda
43%
AFC Ajax or NAC Breda
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NAC Breda covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

