NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Dennis Higler
- Assistant 1 Johan Balder
- Assistant 2 Freek Vandeursen
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | AFC Ajax | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Aug | FC Groningen | A | 1–4 | L |
| 15 May | PEC Zwolle | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 May | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–4 | L |
| 21 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | NAC Breda | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | SC Heerenveen | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 May | SBV Vitesse | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 May | Almere City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 May | FC Volendam | A | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Apr | SBV Excelsior | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Rat Verlegh Stadion will turn into a battlefield for NAC Breda and AFC Ajax.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carl Hoefkens will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' NAC Breda have won 74 goals from 103 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' AFC Ajax is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' Leo Greiml, a Austria , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 480 games and scored 817 goals.
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 50' Netherlands international Kenneth Taylor has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' Josip Sutalo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 188 appearances.
- 56' Kian Fitz-Jim is replacing Kristian Hlynsson for the AFC Ajax side.
- 58' Against the run of play, Matthew Garbett has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 63' Jorrel Hato is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 66' It is a substitution in NAC Breda team. Matthew Garbett is replaced by Raul Paula on 66 minute.
- 71' Jan Van den Bergh has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 76' Steven Bergwijn gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Mika Godts and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' Roy Kuijpers is replacing Boyd Lucassen for the NAC Breda side.
- 84' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Lars Mol. He replaces Dominik Janosek on 89 minute.
- 90' AFC Ajax receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from NAC Breda to claim maximum points.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
2
Boyd Lucassen ↓ Roy Kuijpers 79'
- 99
- 12
- 5
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↓ Lars Mol 89'
- 4
- 6
-
7
Matthew Garbett ↓ Raul Paula 66'
- 16
- 25
Bench
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 66'
- 1
-
3
Martin Koscelnik ↑ 66'
- 49
-
17
Roy Kuijpers ↑ 79'
- 21
-
28
Lars Mol ↑ 89'
- 19
- 14
-
8
Raul Paula ↑ 66'
- 18
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
- 20
- 21
- 37
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Chuba Akpom 66'
- 4
- 38
-
39
Mika Godts ↓ Steven Bergwijn 76'
- 16
- 3
- 36
Bench
-
7
Steven Bergwijn ↑ 76'
- 6
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↑ 56'
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↑ 66'
- 40
- 12
- 18
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↑ 56'
- 2
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 56'
- 15
- 11
Coach
Francesco Farioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
| Gervane Kastaneer | 1 |
| Erik Palmer-Brown | 1 |
| Jorrel Hato | 1 |
| Boy Kemper | 1 |
| Matthew Garbett | 1 |
Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: NAC Breda win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
58%
Draw or AFC Ajax
69%
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.