NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Dennis Higler
- Assistant 1 Johan Balder
- Assistant 2 Freek Vandeursen
4 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | AFC Ajax | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Aug | FC Groningen | A | 1–4 | L |
| 15 May | PEC Zwolle | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 May | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 0–4 | L |
| 21 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | NAC Breda | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | SC Heerenveen | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 May | SBV Vitesse | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 May | Almere City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 May | FC Volendam | A | 4–1 | W |
| 24 Apr | SBV Excelsior | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Rat Verlegh Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Leo Greiml has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. NAC Breda must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Boyd Lucassen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for NAC Breda.
- 20' Kian Fitz-Jim has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 483 appearances.
- 25' AFC Ajax is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Francesco Farioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. NAC Breda and AFC Ajax are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' It’s high time Francesco Farioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 50' Jan Van den Bergh has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' Kristian Hlynsson makes way for Kian Fitz-Jim at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 58' Matthew Garbett has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
- 63' The Netherlands Jorrel Hato breaks the deadlock on 63 minutes. 1-1!
- 66' A change in the NAC Breda ranks — Matthew Garbett exits the field as Raul Paula enters on 66.
- 71' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 76' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Mika Godts has done his job and it is now time for Steven Bergwijn to step up.
- 79' The NAC Breda manager makes a substitution. Boyd Lucassen departs to be replaced by Roy Kuijpers.
- 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His NAC Breda side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 89' Lars Mol has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dominik Janosek on 89 minute.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Sivert Mannsverk. He receives a card.
- The points are shared — NAC Breda 2-1 AFC Ajax. Honours even.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
2
Boyd Lucassen ↓ Roy Kuijpers 79'
- 99
- 12
- 5
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↓ Lars Mol 89'
- 4
- 6
-
7
Matthew Garbett ↓ Raul Paula 66'
- 16
- 25
Bench
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 66'
- 1
-
3
Martin Koscelnik ↑ 66'
- 49
-
17
Roy Kuijpers ↑ 79'
- 21
-
28
Lars Mol ↑ 89'
- 19
- 14
-
8
Raul Paula ↑ 66'
- 18
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 22
- 20
- 21
- 37
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Chuba Akpom 66'
- 4
- 38
-
39
Mika Godts ↓ Steven Bergwijn 76'
- 16
- 3
- 36
Bench
-
7
Steven Bergwijn ↑ 76'
- 6
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↑ 56'
-
10
Chuba Akpom ↑ 66'
- 40
- 12
- 18
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↑ 56'
- 2
-
28
Kian Fitz-Jim ↑ 56'
- 15
- 11
Coach
Francesco Farioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 1 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 1 |
| Hakim Ziyech | 1 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
| Gervane Kastaneer | 1 |
Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: NAC Breda win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
58%
Draw or AFC Ajax
69%
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.