PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
7 games this season
🟨 0.1/game
⚽ 3.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | AFC Ajax | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | NEC | A | 5–3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Telstar 1963 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | FC Groningen | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Aug | FC Twente '65 | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | PSV | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | PEC Zwolle | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Volendam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Heracles Almelo | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| PSV | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #7 |
| 4 | Points | 3 |
| 2 | Played | 1 |
| 1 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 0 |
| 4 | Scored | 2 |
| 3 | Conceded | 0 |
| +1 | GD | +2 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
100%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
PSV are 3rd (4 pts). AFC Ajax are 7th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Lineups
PSV Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
| Mika Godts | 2 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
50%
Draw or AFC Ajax
76%
PSV or AFC Ajax
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
10.4%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 3
6.5%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 23% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

