PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
12 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 13.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | AFC Ajax | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | NEC | A | 5–3 | W |
| 30 Aug | Telstar 1963 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | FC Groningen | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Aug | FC Twente '65 | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep | PSV | A | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | PEC Zwolle | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Volendam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | Heracles Almelo | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| PSV | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #3 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 8 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 1 |
| 40 | Scored | 32 |
| 15 | Conceded | 15 |
| +25 | GD | +17 |
| 2.17 | PPG | 2.08 |
| 67% | Win % | 58% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
PSV are 1st (26 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guus Til | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 4 G | 1 A |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. PSV get us underway at .
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
PSV Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 9 |
| Hirving Lozano | 4 |
| Eran Zahavi | 3 |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 |
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 2 |
Head to Head
PSV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17
PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
PSV or AFC Ajax 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
PSV or Draw
67%
Draw or AFC Ajax
56%
PSV or AFC Ajax
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — PSV
| Handicap | PSV covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 18% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
PSV keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

