Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
2 – 2
Full Time
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

  • PSV 7 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
  • AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
16 Sep Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 1–3 L
13 Sep NEC A 5–3 W
30 Aug Telstar 1963 H 0–2 L
23 Aug FC Groningen H 4–2 W
17 Aug FC Twente '65 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep PSV A 2–2 D
17 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
13 Sep PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W
30 Aug FC Volendam A 1–1 D
24 Aug Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W
17 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 2–2 D

Season Stats

PSV AFC Ajax
#3 Position #5
16 Points 14
7 Played 7
5 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
24 Scored 21
10 Conceded 9
+14 GD +12
2.29 PPG 2.00
71% Win % 57%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

PSV are 3rd (16 pts). AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. AFC Ajax get us underway at .
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PSV42% Draw23% AFC Ajax35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
65%
Draw or AFC Ajax
58%
PSV or AFC Ajax
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV34% Draw36% AFC Ajax30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
6.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 17% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.