Sunday , 16 August 2026

PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
2 2
Full Time
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs AFC AjaxEredivisie .

  • PSV 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
  • AFC Ajax 1 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
7 games this season 🟨 0.1/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
16 Sep Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 1–3 L
13 Sep NEC A 5–3 W
30 Aug Telstar 1963 H 0–2 L
23 Aug FC Groningen H 4–2 W
17 Aug FC Twente '65 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep PSV A 2–2 D
17 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
13 Sep PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W
30 Aug FC Volendam A 1–1 D
24 Aug Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W
17 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 2–2 D

Season Stats

PSV AFC Ajax
#3 Position #7
4 Points 3
2 Played 1
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 2
3 Conceded 0
+1 GD +2
2.00 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

PSV are 3rd (4 pts). AFC Ajax are 7th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — PSV and AFC Ajax get this one started.
  • The points are shared — PSV 2-2 AFC Ajax. Honours even.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PSV24% Draw25% AFC Ajax51%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
50%
Draw or AFC Ajax
76%
PSV or AFC Ajax
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV15% Draw44% AFC Ajax41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
10.4%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 3
6.5%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
4.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 23% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 18% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
16%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.