Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 14:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Nagtegaal

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W
17 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 2–2 D
10 Aug Telstar 1963 H 2–0 W
18 May FC Twente '65 H 2–0 W
14 May FC Groningen A 2–2 D
11 May NEC H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug AFC Ajax A 0–2 L
16 Aug NEC H 1–4 L
10 Aug FC Utrecht A 0–4 L
18 May NEC H 1–2 L
14 May PSV A 1–4 L
09 May Willem II Tilburg A 2–1 W

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

Heracles Almelo Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.08 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax64% Draw21% Heracles Almelo15%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
85%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
36%
AFC Ajax or Heracles Almelo
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax45% Draw42% Heracles Almelo13%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 19% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
40%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.