Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Wed 29 Oct 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Arminia BielefeldDFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Arminia Bielefeld H 2–1 W
24 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
17 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–1 W
04 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
28 Sep Hamburger SV H 0–0 D
21 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt A 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
25 Oct SV 07 Elversberg H 2–0 W
18 Oct SC Paderborn 07 A 3–4 L
05 Oct FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
28 Sep Hannover 96 A 1–3 L
19 Sep SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–3 L

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

Arminia Bielefeld Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Arminia Bielefeld xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin50% Draw26% Arminia Bielefeld24%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
76%
Draw or Arminia Bielefeld
50%
1. FC Union Berlin or Arminia Bielefeld
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin33% Draw47% Arminia Bielefeld20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Arminia Bielefeld covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
35%
Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.