Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Christian Dingert
14 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W
01 Oct PSV H 1–1 D
27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
21 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
18 Sep FC København A 2–2 D
12 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
28 Sep Hamburger SV H 0–0 D
21 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt A 4–3 W
13 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–4 L
31 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
23 Aug VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FC Union Berlin
#6 Position #11
59 Points 39
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
68 Scored 44
47 Conceded 58
+21 GD -14
1.74 PPG 1.15
50% Win % 29%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen66% Draw20% 1. FC Union Berlin14%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
86%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
34%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FC Union Berlin
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen48% Draw40% 1. FC Union Berlin12%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.4%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.9%
4 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 23% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
42%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.