Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Wed 24 Jan 2024 · 19:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Raphael Guerreiro 46' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Aarne Aarnink

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
21 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
12 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–0 W
20 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
17 Dec VfB Stuttgart H 3–0 W
12 Dec Manchester United FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan FC Bayern München A 0–1 L
13 Jan SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
20 Dec 1. FC Köln H 2–0 W
16 Dec VfL Bochum 1848 A 0–3 L
12 Dec Real Madrid CF H 2–3 L
09 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FC Union Berlin
#7 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München55% Draw34% 1. FC Union Berlin11%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
89%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
45%
FC Bayern München or 1. FC Union Berlin
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München30% Draw65% 1. FC Union Berlin5%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
1.6%
1 – 2
1.2%
4 – 0
1.1%
0 – 2
1%
2 – 2
0.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 31% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 8% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
74%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.