Wednesday , 4 November 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 08:30 UTC Peace Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Matheus Jesus 34' 1–0
1–1 51' Lucas Fernandes pen
Hijiri Onaga 56' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Peace Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Atsushi Kamimura
6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
12 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 2–0 W
06 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–3 L
02 Sep Gamba Osaka H 2–2 D
29 Aug FC Tokyo H 0–3 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 2–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki A 1–2 L
12 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–6 L
06 Sep Tokyo Verdy H 0–0 D
02 Sep Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
29 Aug Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
22 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka FC
#9 Position #2
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
25 Scored 48
33 Conceded 38
-8 GD +10
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 61%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
33% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/2
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
Thiago Santana 5 G
Matheus Jesus 4 G 2 A
Kenshin Yasuda 4 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G
Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 4 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Peace Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Lucas Fernandes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for V-Varen Nagasaki tonight.
  • 17' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Shinnosuke Hatanaka by Javi Hernandez on 17 minute.
  • 17' Riku Yamada picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 22' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both V-Varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 27' Masaaki Goto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 418 appearances.
  • 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 34' A goal from the Brazil international Matheus Jesus! He fires home on 34 to make it 1-0!
  • 34' Go Hatano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Go Hatano on 34 minute.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shunta Tanaka, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jackson Irvine on 41.
  • 46' Jackson Irvine has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 50' That is a card for V-Varen Nagasaki. Shunya Yoneda will be fuming at that decision.
  • 51' Goal! Lucas Fernandes scores his 27 goal in 185 matches.
  • 56' Brilliant from the ! Hijiri Onaga makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 56.
  • 58' Another change for V-Varen Nagasaki made on 58 minute. Shunya Yoneda leaves to be changed by Asahi Masuyama.
  • 63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. V-Varen Nagasaki needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' It’s a booking for Cerezo Osaka FC player. Kosuke Nakamura gets a card.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Tenmu Matsumoto. He replaces Thiago Santana on 73 minute.
  • 77' Thiago Andrade is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Fernandes at the 77 minute mark.
  • 82' A change in the V-Varen Nagasaki ranks — Matheus Jesus exits the field as Ryogo Yamasaki enters on 82.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Kanta Doi. He replaces Ikki Arai on 83 minute.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Dion Cools. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Satoki Uejo. He replaces Kosei Okazawa on 88 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 Cerezo Osaka FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC 76% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki41% Draw24% Cerezo Osaka FC35%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
65%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
59%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki30% Draw40% Cerezo Osaka FC30%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 1
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 18% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.