Thursday , 17 September 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 09:30 UTC Peace Stadium

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 2–0 W
06 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–3 L
02 Sep Gamba Osaka H 2–2 D
29 Aug FC Tokyo H 0–3 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 2–4 L
15 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–6 L
06 Sep Tōkyō Verdy H 0–0 D
02 Sep Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
29 Aug Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
22 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
15 Aug Avispa Fukuoka A 0–3 L

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Cerezo Osaka FC
#9 Position #2
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
25 Scored 48
33 Conceded 38
-8 GD +10
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 61%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
50% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
/2
16-30
/
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/3
46-60
/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
Thiago Santana 3 G
Matheus Jesus 2 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G
Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

H2H

Predictions

1.82 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

V-Varen Nagasaki38% Draw25% Cerezo Osaka FC37%

Both Teams to Score

Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.68

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
63%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
62%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC
75%

Half-Time Result

V-Varen Nagasaki30% Draw40% Cerezo Osaka FC30%

Correct Score

1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
4%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 18% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
16%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.