V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Peace Stadium.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–6 | L |
| 06 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| -8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 3 G |
| Matheus Jesus | 2 G |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 1 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Matheus Jesus | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
1.82
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
63%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
62%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
4%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 18% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
16%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

