V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Peace Stadium.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Atsushi Kamimura
6 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–6 | L |
| 06 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 48 |
| 33 | Conceded | 38 |
| -8 | GD | +10 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/2
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 5 G | |
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 4 G | |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Peace Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Lucas Fernandes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for V-Varen Nagasaki tonight.
- 17' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Shinnosuke Hatanaka by Javi Hernandez on 17 minute.
- 17' Riku Yamada picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 22' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both V-Varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 27' Masaaki Goto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 418 appearances.
- 32' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 34' A goal from the Brazil international Matheus Jesus! He fires home on 34 to make it 1-0!
- 34' Go Hatano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Go Hatano on 34 minute.
- 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shunta Tanaka, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jackson Irvine on 41.
- 46' Jackson Irvine has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 50' That is a card for V-Varen Nagasaki. Shunya Yoneda will be fuming at that decision.
- 51' Goal! Lucas Fernandes scores his 27 goal in 185 matches.
- 56' Brilliant from the ! Hijiri Onaga makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 56.
- 58' Another change for V-Varen Nagasaki made on 58 minute. Shunya Yoneda leaves to be changed by Asahi Masuyama.
- 63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. V-Varen Nagasaki needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' It’s a booking for Cerezo Osaka FC player. Kosuke Nakamura gets a card.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Tenmu Matsumoto. He replaces Thiago Santana on 73 minute.
- 77' Thiago Andrade is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lucas Fernandes at the 77 minute mark.
- 82' A change in the V-Varen Nagasaki ranks — Matheus Jesus exits the field as Ryogo Yamasaki enters on 82.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Kanta Doi. He replaces Ikki Arai on 83 minute.
- 84' Poor challenge from Dion Cools. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Satoki Uejo. He replaces Kosei Okazawa on 88 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 Cerezo Osaka FC.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
23
Shunya Yoneda ↓ Asahi Masuyama 58'
-
10
Matheus Jesus ↓ Ryogo Yamasaki 82'
- 9
- 50
- 5
- 29
- 1
- 8
-
24
Riku Yamada ↓ Diego Pituca 58'
- 41
Bench
- 20
- 19
-
21
Diego Pituca ↑ 58'
-
88
Asahi Masuyama ↑ 58'
-
18
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 82'
- 13
-
31
Kanta Doi ↑ 83'
-
34
Tenmu Matsumoto ↑ 73'
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 77
- 36
- 44
- 23
- 66
- 10
- 4
-
28
Kosei Okazawa ↓ Satoki Uejo 88'
- 16
- 9
Bench
- 19
- 2
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↑ 77'
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 88'
- 31
- 17
-
15
Javi Hernandez ↑ 17'
- 97
Coach
Pablo Machín
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matheus Jesus | 2 |
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
| Ryogo Yamasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC 76% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
65%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
59%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Cerezo Osaka FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 1
4.4%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 18% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

