Friday , 16 October 2026

Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 06:00 UTC Kashima Soccer Stadium

Overview

Match Preview

Kashima Antlers vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at Kashima Soccer Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Gamba Osaka H 2–0 W
19 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 3–3 D
11 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
06 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
02 Sep FC Mito Holly Hock A 2–4 L
29 Aug Tokyo Verdy A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct JEF United Ichihara Chiba A 1–1 D
19 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
12 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 2–0 W
06 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–3 L
02 Sep Gamba Osaka H 2–2 D
29 Aug FC Tokyo H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Kashima Antlers V-Varen Nagasaki
#11 Position #9
45 Points 21
18 Played 18
15 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
40 Scored 25
20 Conceded 33
+20 GD -8
2.50 PPG 1.17
83% Win % 39%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
13% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kashima Antlers
Leo Ceara 12 G
Aleksandar Cavric 4 G 1 A
Yuma Suzuki 2 G 2 A
Takuya Uchida 2 G
V-Varen Nagasaki
Matheus Jesus 3 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G
Kenshin Yasuda 2 G

H2H

Predictions

1.92 Kashima Antlers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Kashima Antlers to win 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

Kashima Antlers63% Draw23% V-Varen Nagasaki14%

Both Teams to Score

Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.64

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Kashima Antlers or Draw
86%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
37%
Kashima Antlers or V-Varen Nagasaki
77%

Half-Time Result

Kashima Antlers45% Draw44% V-Varen Nagasaki11%

Correct Score

1 – 0
13%
2 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
9%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.4%
2 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kashima Antlers

Handicap Kashima Antlers covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 20% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 25% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
49%
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.