Friday , 30 October 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026-27
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC Peace Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Matheus Jesus pen 36' 1–0
Thiago Santana 57' 2–0
Y 90' Haruya Fujii

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Nagoya Grampus H 2–0 W
06 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–3 L
02 Sep Gamba Osaka H 2–2 D
29 Aug FC Tokyo H 0–3 L
21 Aug Kashiwa Reysol A 2–4 L
15 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–2 L
06 Sep FC Machida Zelvia H 1–3 L
02 Sep Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–3 L
29 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
22 Aug Gamba Osaka H 3–1 W
15 Aug Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Nagoya Grampus
#9 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
25 Scored 46
33 Conceded 44
-8 GD +2
1.17 PPG 1.72
39% Win % 56%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/2
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
4/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
Matheus Jesus 4 G 2 A
Kenshin Yasuda 4 G
Tenmu Matsumoto 2 G
Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! V-Varen Nagasaki welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at Peace Stadium.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' V-Varen Nagasaki has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Matheus Jesus has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 330 appearances.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His V-Varen Nagasaki side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Motoki Hasegawa, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 36' Matheus Jesus has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 36 minutes.
  • 41' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuki Nogami suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' The 27-year-old Taichi Kikuchi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Riku Yamada is clearly more than just a goal scorer for V-Varen Nagasaki.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Takuya Takagi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' What a strike from Thiago Santana! The score is 2-0.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Tomoya Koyamatsu comes on to replace Yuya Yamagishi.
  • 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 68' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Katsuhiro Nakayama by Tsukasa Morishima on 68 minute.
  • 73' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 78' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 80' The whistle greets Thiago Santana as he departs to be replaced by Tenmu Matsumoto.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Shungo Sugiura on, Hidemasa Koda off on 83 minutes.
  • 86' A tactical swap from V-Varen Nagasaki — Ryogo Yamasaki on, Matheus Jesus off on 86 minutes.
  • 89' The V-Varen Nagasaki manager makes a substitution. Hijiri Onaga departs to be replaced by Takashi Sawada.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Haruya Fujii on 90.
  • The points are shared — V-Varen Nagasaki 2-0 Nagoya Grampus. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.06 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki51% Draw23% Nagoya Grampus26%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
74%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
49%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki37% Draw40% Nagoya Grampus23%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
22% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.