V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Peace Stadium.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | FC Tokyo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 25 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 44 |
| -8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 2 G |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Musashi Suzuki | 4 |
| Musashi Suzuki | 4 |
| Keita Nakamura | 3 |
| Keita Nakamura | 3 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
2.03
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus 77% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
66%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
57%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Nagoya Grampus
77%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
7%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.5%
0 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
16%
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
14%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

