Wednesday , 7 October 2026

1. FC Koln vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 25 Oct 2024 · 16:30 UTC RheinEnergieSTADION 50,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jan Thielmann 66' 1–0
1–1 76' Sven Michel
1–2 80' Sven Michel

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at RheinEnergieSTADION.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Lechner
  • Assistant 1 Julius Martenstein
  • Assistant 2 Kevin Behrens (Germany)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct SC Paderborn 07 H 1–2 L
18 Oct SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–5 L
05 Oct SSV Ulm 1846 H 2–0 W
29 Sep Karlsruher SC H 4–4 D
21 Sep TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 2–2 D
14 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
19 Oct 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–3 L
04 Oct SSV Jahn Regensburg H 3–0 W
28 Sep Hamburger SV A 2–2 D
20 Sep Hannover 96 H 2–1 W
13 Sep SC Preußen Münster A 3–3 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds RheinEnergieSTADION will turn into a battlefield for 1. FC Köln and SC Paderborn 07.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Markus Schubert has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 206 appearances.
  • 15' 1. FC Köln are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Paderborn 07's 3-4-3 shape.
  • 20' 1. FC Köln started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' It’s high time Gerhard Struber made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Julian Pauli has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' 1. FC Köln is showing some good football. However, 1. FC Köln are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' A moment of madness from Ilyas Ansah on 40 minutes earns him a card. SC Paderborn 07 will be frustrated.
  • 45' Dejan Ljubicic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
  • 46' Tjark Scheller is replacing Marcel Hoffmeier for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Raphael Obermair made 145 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' It looks surprising 1. FC Köln does not make any changes. Sven Michel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' Poor challenge from Luis Engelns. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 62' Dejan Ljubicic was booked on 62.
  • 63' 1. FC Koln manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mathias Olesen is hanging Dejan Ljubicic on the field on 63 minute.
  • 66' What a strike from Jan Thielmann! The score is 0-1.
  • 68' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
  • 69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aaron Zehnter on 69.
  • 71' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adrian Bravo-Sanchez is hanging Koen Kostons on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Sven Michel makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and SC Paderborn 07 are in front.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Steffen Tigges. He replaces Tim Lemperle on 76 minute.
  • 80' What composure from Sven Michel! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 82' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Kinsombi is hanging Luis Engelns on the field on 82 minute.
  • 84' The 1. FC Koln bench stirs into life. Julian Pauli is withdrawn and Dominique Heintz gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Florian Kainz is replacing Denis Huseinbasic for the 1. FC Koln side.
  • 90' With 0 assists to his name this season, Calvin Brackelmann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Köln.
  • 1. FC Köln will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Koln or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Koln42% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0731%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
70%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
1. FC Koln or SC Paderborn 07
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln34% Draw44% SC Paderborn 0722%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.