Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 11:00 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Hartmann
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug SC Paderborn 07 H 1–2 L
13 Aug FV Illertissen A 3–1 W
05 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
29 Jul Hertha BSC H 1–0 W
08 Feb 1. FC Nurnberg A 4–6 L
19 Oct SSV Jahn Regensburg A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–1 W
13 Aug FC Energie Cottbus A 7–0 W
04 Aug VfL Osnabruck H 1–1 D
30 Jul SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 0–5 L
31 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 1–2 L
19 Oct SV Werder Bremen H 7–6 W

Season Stats

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf SC Paderborn 07
#17 Position #3
37 Points 62
34 Played 34
11 / 4 / 19 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
33 Scored 59
53 Conceded 45
-20 GD +14
1.09 PPG 1.82
32% Win % 53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are 17th (37 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf24% Draw26% SC Paderborn 0750%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
50%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
76%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SC Paderborn 07
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf16% Draw44% SC Paderborn 0740%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
9.9%
0 – 2
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
3.1%
1 – 4
2.8%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 23% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
16%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.