TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2024-25

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

1 – 1

Full Time

SC Paderborn 07

Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 19:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 35,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 61' Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson og

Felix Gotze og 90+5' 1–1

Matthias Zimmermann 55' Y

Shinta Appelkamp 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Florian Exner
Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

17 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV 07 Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nurnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum 1848	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	34	37
17	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	34	37
18	SC Preussen Munster	34	30

Head-to-Head

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals SC Paderborn 07

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-09 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 2023-08-19 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2020-05-16 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 2019-10-26 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Recent Form

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Nov	SC Paderborn 07	H	1–1	D
01 Nov	SC Preussen Munster	A	0–1	L
26 Oct	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	3–4	L
19 Oct	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	3–0	W
06 Oct	Hamburger SV	H	0–3	L
27 Sep	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	A	2–1	W

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Nov	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	A	1–1	D
03 Nov	Eintracht Braunschweig	H	0–0	D
30 Oct	SV Werder Bremen	H	0–1	L
25 Oct	1. FC Koln	A	2–1	W
19 Oct	1. FC Kaiserslautern	A	0–3	L
04 Oct	SSV Jahn Regensburg	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf		SC Paderborn 07
#17	Position	#3
37	Points	62
34	Played	34
11 / 4 / 19	W / D / L	18 / 8 / 8
33	Scored	59
53	Conceded	45
-20	GD	+14
1.09	PPG	1.82
32%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season

26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are 17th (37 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

0-15

1/3

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/1

61-75

1/1

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

SC Paderborn 07

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf have kicked off against SC Paderborn 07. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Andre Hoffmann has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Thioune will be considering his options from the bench.
15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tim Rossmann made 262 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
25' Both keepers have barely been tested. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf and SC Paderborn 07 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
30' SC Paderborn 07 come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
35' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
40' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
45' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
50' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
55' That looks like a foul for a card for Matthias Zimmermann.
60' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson makes no mistake. 1-0!
62' Another change for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf made on 62 minute. Vincent Vermeij leaves to be changed by Dzenan Pejcinovic.
67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
72' It is a cagey affair so far. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact 3-4-3.
77' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson has done his job and it is now time for Shinta Appelkamp to step up.
80' The supporters are chanting for Anton Bauerle. He replaces Aaron Zehnter on 80 minute.
82' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player sees a card in front of him.
84' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Felix Klaus departs to be replaced by Jona Niemiec.
86' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Luis Engelns is withdrawn and Luca Herrmann gets his opportunity.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Thioune

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

8
David Kinsombi ↑ 86'
1
Pelle Boevink
11
Sven Michel ↑ 77'
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
42
Adrian Bravo-Sanchez
17
Laurin Curda
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 77'
9
Mika Baur
21
Anton Bauerle ↑ 80'

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Abdelhamid Sabiri	1
Koen Kostons	1
Sebastian Schonlau	1
Dawid Kownacki	1
Jordy de Wijs	1
Danny Schmidt	1
Florent Muslija	1
Ilyas Ansah	1

Head to Head

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form

2024-11-09 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-11-01 SC Preussen Munster 1–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf L 2024-10-26 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 3–4 1. FC Kaiserslautern L 2024-10-19 SSV Jahn Regensburg 0–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2024-10-06 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 0–3 Hamburger SV L 2024-09-27 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 1–2 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2024-11-09 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-11-03 SC Paderborn 07 0–0 Eintracht Braunschweig D 2024-10-30 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SV Werder Bremen L 2024-10-25 1. FC Koln 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2024-10-19 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–0 SC Paderborn 07 L 2024-10-04 SC Paderborn 07 3–0 SSV Jahn Regensburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.17 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.8 SC Paderborn 07 xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf28% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0745%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw

54%

Draw or SC Paderborn 07

72%

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SC Paderborn 07

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf19% Draw44% SC Paderborn 0737%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 1

8.4%

0 – 2

8.2%

0 – 0

6.8%

2 – 1

6.1%

1 – 3

5.6%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 0

5.1%

0 – 3

4.8%

2 – 0

3.5%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers	Push	SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	14%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	49%	—	51%
+1	49%	22%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	16%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.