Friday , 9 October 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 19:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 35,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Felix Gotze og 90+5' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Merkur Spiel-Arena. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are looking to make home advantage count against SC Paderborn 07.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Koen Kostons made 321 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Tim Oberdorf, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' A moment of madness from Matthias Zimmermann on 55 minutes earns him a card. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf will be frustrated.
  • 60' Germany international David Kinsombi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 61' Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the defender.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Dzenan Pejcinovic. He replaces Vincent Vermeij on 62 minute.
  • 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 77' Another substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf to replace Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson by Shinta Appelkamp on 77 minute.
  • 80' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 80 minute. Aaron Zehnter leaves to be changed by Anton Bauerle.
  • 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Shinta Appelkamp.
  • 84' Fresh legs for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf! Jona Niemiec comes on to replace Felix Klaus.
  • 86' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 86 minute. Luis Engelns leaves to be changed by Luca Herrmann.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SC Paderborn 07 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf34% Draw28% SC Paderborn 0738%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
66%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SC Paderborn 07
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf25% Draw46% SC Paderborn 0729%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.