TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
3 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | SC Preussen Munster | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. SC Paderborn 07 get us underway at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sven Michel, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur Spiel-Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' Raphael Obermair is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
- 20' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 25' Marcel Sobottka needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aaron Zehnter suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf and SC Paderborn 07 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matthias Zimmermann.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Paderborn 07 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 61' What a moment for Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
- 62' The whistle greets Vincent Vermeij as he departs to be replaced by Dzenan Pejcinovic.
- 67' Matthias Zimmermann has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 72' The 26-year-old Calvin Brackelmann has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 77' Shinta Appelkamp is ready to make an impact after coming on for Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson at the 77 minute mark.
- 80' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Aaron Zehnter by Anton Bauerle on 80 minute.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Shinta Appelkamp argues furiously but the card stands.
- 84' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Felix Klaus departs to be replaced by Jona Niemiec.
- 86' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Luis Engelns exits the field as Luca Herrmann enters on 86.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1-1 SC Paderborn 07.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 19
- 9
- 11
- 25
- 31
- 3
- 33
- 12
- 8
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 30
- 6
- 23
- 39
- 26
- 10
- 7
- 18
- 22
Coach
Daniel Thioune
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 20
- 30
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↓ Sven Michel 77'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ David Kinsombi 86'
- 4
-
32
Aaron Zehnter ↓ Anton Bauerle 80'
- 5
- 25
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Ilyas Ansah 77'
-
46
Luis Engelns ↓ Luca Herrmann 86'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 86'
- 1
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 77'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
- 42
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 77'
- 9
-
21
Anton Bauerle ↑ 80'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dennis Jastrzembski | 1 |
| Suliman Mustapha | 1 |
| Yannik Engelhardt | 1 |
| David Kinsombi | 1 |
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Mattes Hansen | 1 |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
Head to Head
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-01
SC Preussen Munster
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2024-10-26
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
3–4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2024-10-19
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–3
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2024-10-06
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
0–3
Hamburger SV
L
2024-09-27
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Koln
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-10-19
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
2024-10-04
SC Paderborn 07
3–0
SSV Jahn Regensburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SC Paderborn 07 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
66%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SC Paderborn 07
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.