SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2023-24

SC Paderborn 07

4 – 3

Full Time

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Sun 4 Feb 2024 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 21' Daniel Thioune

Ilyas Ansah 38' Y

Y 90' Dennis Jastrzembski

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz

19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV 07 Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nurnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum 1848	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	34	37
17	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	34	37
18	SC Preussen Munster	34	30

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 2023-08-19 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2020-05-16 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 2019-10-26 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	H	4–3	W
27 Jan	VfL Osnabruck	A	0–0	D
21 Jan	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	H	0–1	L
15 Dec	FC Hansa Rostock	H	3–0	W
09 Dec	Hamburger SV	A	2–1	W
06 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–3	L

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	SC Paderborn 07	A	3–4	L
30 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	6–5	W
27 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Hertha BSC	A	2–2	D
16 Dec	1. FC Magdeburg	A	3–2	W
10 Dec	Holstein Kiel	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07		TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
#3	Position	#17
62	Points	37
34	Played	34
18 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 4 / 19
59	Scored	33
45	Conceded	53
+14	GD	-20
1.82	PPG	1.09
53%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

15% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are 17th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

0-15

1/3

16-30

1/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/1

61-75

1/1

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
15' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
19' David Kinsombi does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
21' Poor challenge from Daniel Thioune. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
31' Vincent Vermeij is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
34' What composure from Mattes Hansen! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-0.
37' Magnificent from Filip Bilbija! That is 24 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
38' The referee calls foul for Ilyas Ansah. He receives a card.
43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
46' Dennis Jastrzembski has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Gavory on 46 minute.
49' Brilliant from the ! Yannik Engelhardt makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 49.
54' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
55' GOAL! Suliman Mustapha scores on 55.
60' Joshua Quarshie, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
65' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Jannis Heuer comes on to replace Calvin Brackelmann.
70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
75' SC Paderborn 07 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
76' A change in the TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ranks — Christoph Daferner exits the field as Vincent Vermeij enters on 76.
81' Germany international King Manu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
82' GOAL! Koen Kostons scores on 82. Assisted by Ilyas Ansah
84' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Filip Bilbija is replaced by Felix Platte.
85' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Sirlord Conteh on, Koen Kostons off on 85 minutes.
87' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Matthias Zimmermann is replaced by King Manu on 87 minute.
90' What a moment for Dennis Jastrzembski! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
90' A moment of madness from Dennis Jastrzembski on 90 minutes earns him a card. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf will be frustrated.
90' Robert Leipertz gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Ilyas Ansah and will look to change the dynamic.
The final score is 4-3.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 90'
36
Felix Platte ↑ 84'
6
Marco Schuster ↑ 65'
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 85'
35
Arne Schulz
33
Marcel Hoffmeier
24
Jannis Heuer ↑ 65'
32
Aaron Zehnter
43
Martin Ens

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups

Starting XI

30
Jordy de Wijs ↓ Joshua Quarshie 46'
34
Nicolas Gavory ↓ Dennis Jastrzembski 46'
25
Matthias Zimmermann ↓ King Manu 87'
3
Andre Hoffmann
33
Florian Kastenmeier
4
Ao Tanaka
22
Christoph Daferner ↓ Vincent Vermeij 76'
8
Isak Johannesson
7
Christos Tzolis ↓ Suliman Mustapha 46'
6
Yannik Engelhardt
18
Jona Niemiec

Bench

Coach Daniel Thioune

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yannik Engelhardt	1
David Kinsombi	1
Filip Bilbija	1
Mattes Hansen	1
Abdelhamid Sabiri	1
Koen Kostons	1
Sebastian Schonlau	1
Dawid Kownacki	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2024-01-27 VfL Osnabruck 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-01-21 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 L 2023-12-15 SC Paderborn 07 3–0 FC Hansa Rostock W 2023-12-09 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2023-12-06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 SC Paderborn 07 L

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf L 2024-01-30 FC St. Pauli 1910 5–6 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2024-01-27 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2024-01-21 Hertha BSC 2–2 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf D 2023-12-16 1. FC Magdeburg 2–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2023-12-10 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 0–1 Holstein Kiel L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.42 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Paderborn 0758% Draw21% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf21%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

79%

Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

42%

SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SC Paderborn 0743% Draw37% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf20%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 1

8.1%

3 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 2

3 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.7%

4 – 1

4.2%

0 – 0

3.2%

4 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	17%	63%
-1.5	37%	—	63%
-1	37%	20%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	12%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.