SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 4–3 | W |
| 27 Jan | VfL Osnabrück | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Dec | FC Hansa Rostock | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Dec | Hamburger SV | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Dec | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 3–4 | L |
| 30 Jan | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 6–5 | W |
| 27 Jan | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Hertha BSC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Dec | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Dec | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. SC Paderborn 07 kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 19' David Kinsombi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SC Paderborn 07 are in front.
- 21' Daniel Thioune was booked on 21.
- 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
- 34' What a moment for Mattes Hansen! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
- 37' Magnificent from Filip Bilbija! That is 24 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 38' It’s gonna be a card for Ilyas Ansah.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sebastian Klaas made 48 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Nicolas Gavory has done his job and it is now time for Dennis Jastrzembski to step up.
- 49' Yannik Engelhardt adds to his 2 season tally! TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
- 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 55' What a strike from Suliman Mustapha! The score is 3-2.
- 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 65' The crowd applauds Calvin Brackelmann as he leaves the pitch. Jannis Heuer steps in for SC Paderborn 07.
- 70' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 75' With 0 assists to his name this season, Florian Kastenmeier is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
- 76' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Christoph Daferner is replaced by Vincent Vermeij on 76 minute.
- 81' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 82' Koen Kostons doubles the advantage! 4-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 84' Felix Platte gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Filip Bilbija and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Koen Kostons is withdrawn and Sirlord Conteh gets his opportunity.
- 87' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. King Manu is hanging Matthias Zimmermann on the field on 87 minute.
- 90' Against the run of play, Dennis Jastrzembski has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' Dennis Jastrzembski has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Ilyas Ansah is replaced by Robert Leipertz on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SC Paderborn 07 4-3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 1
- 16
- 23
- 26
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Felix Platte 84'
- 4
- 17
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↓ Marco Schuster 65'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Robert Leipertz 90'
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Sirlord Conteh 85'
Bench
-
13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 90'
-
36
Felix Platte ↑ 84'
-
6
Marco Schuster ↑ 65'
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 85'
- 35
- 33
-
24
Jannis Heuer ↑ 65'
- 32
- 43
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups
Starting XI
-
30
Jordy de Wijs ↓ Joshua Quarshie 46'
- 34
-
25
Matthias Zimmermann ↓ King Manu 87'
- 3
- 33
- 4
- 22
- 8
- 7
- 6
- 18
Bench
- 1
-
9
Vincent Vermeij ↑ 76'
-
27
Dennis Jastrzembski ↑ 46'
- 2
-
36
Suliman Mustapha ↑ 46'
-
5
Joshua Quarshie ↑ 46'
- 46
-
43
King Manu ↑ 87'
Coach
Daniel Thioune
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Mattes Hansen | 1 |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
| Sebastian Schonlau | 1 |
| Dawid Kownacki | 1 |
| Jordy de Wijs | 1 |
| Danny Schmidt | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-02-04
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2024-01-27
VfL Osnabrück
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-01-21
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
L
2023-12-15
SC Paderborn 07
3–0
FC Hansa Rostock
W
2023-12-09
Hamburger SV
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-12-06
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
SC Paderborn 07
L
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form
2024-02-04
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2024-01-30
FC St. Pauli 1910
5–6
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2024-01-27
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2024-01-21
Hertha BSC
2–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
D
2023-12-16
1. FC Magdeburg
2–3
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2023-12-10
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
0–1
Holstein Kiel
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
74%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
49%
SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

