SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2023-24

SC Paderborn 07

4 – 3

Full Time

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Sun 4 Feb 2024 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 21' Daniel Thioune

Ilyas Ansah 38' Y

Y 90' Dennis Jastrzembski

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	1. FC Nurnberg	2	6
2	Hertha BSC	2	6
3	Karlsruher SC	2	4
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	4
5	Eintracht Braunschweig	2	3
6	Arminia Bielefeld	2	3
7	VfL Bochum 1848	2	3
8	FC Energie Cottbus	2	3
9	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	2	3
10	1. FC Magdeburg	2	3
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	2	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	2
13	FC St. Pauli 1910	2	2
14	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2	2
15	SV Darmstadt 98	2	1
16	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	2	1
17	Hannover 96	2	0
18	VfL Osnabrück	2	0

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 2023-08-19 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2020-05-16 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 2019-10-26 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	H	4–3	W
27 Jan	VfL Osnabrück	A	0–0	D
21 Jan	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	H	0–1	L
15 Dec	FC Hansa Rostock	H	3–0	W
09 Dec	Hamburger SV	A	2–1	W
06 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–3	L

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	SC Paderborn 07	A	3–4	L
30 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	6–5	W
27 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Hertha BSC	A	2–2	D
16 Dec	1. FC Magdeburg	A	3–2	W
10 Dec	Holstein Kiel	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Home Deluxe Arena!
5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
19' GOAL! David Kinsombi scores on 19. Assisted by Raphael Obermair
21' Daniel Thioune is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
26' Jona Niemiec is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf tonight.
31' It’s high time Daniel Thioune made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
34' What a strike from Mattes Hansen! The score is 2-0.
37' Filip Bilbija doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
38' Ilyas Ansah is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
46' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Gavory departs to be replaced by Dennis Jastrzembski.
49' A stunning finish from Yannik Engelhardt — that came from absolutely nowhere!
54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf that had 302 games and scored 271 goals.
55' A goal from the Austria international Suliman Mustapha! He fires home on 55 to make it 3-2!
60' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
65' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 65 minute. Calvin Brackelmann leaves to be changed by Jannis Heuer.
70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Paderborn 07 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Isak Johannesson, as he is very good at scoring at Home Deluxe Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
76' A tactical swap from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — Vincent Vermeij on, Christoph Daferner off on 76 minutes.
81' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
82' Koen Kostons does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
84' Filip Bilbija makes way for Felix Platte at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
85' Sirlord Conteh has so much to prove this time. He replaces Koen Kostons on 85 minute.
87' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Matthias Zimmermann departs to be replaced by King Manu.
90' A goal from the Germany international Dennis Jastrzembski! He fires home on 90 to make it 4-3!
90' Dennis Jastrzembski has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
90' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Robert Leipertz comes on to replace Ilyas Ansah.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 90'
36
Felix Platte ↑ 84'
6
Marco Schuster ↑ 65'
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 85'
35
Arne Schulz
33
Marcel Hoffmeier
24
Jannis Heuer ↑ 65'
32
Aaron Zehnter
43
Martin Ens

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Lineups

Starting XI

30
Jordy de Wijs ↓ Joshua Quarshie 46'
34
Nicolas Gavory ↓ Dennis Jastrzembski 46'
25
Matthias Zimmermann ↓ King Manu 87'
3
Andre Hoffmann
33
Florian Kastenmeier
4
Ao Tanaka
22
Christoph Daferner ↓ Vincent Vermeij 76'
8
Isak Johannesson
7
Christos Tzolis ↓ Suliman Mustapha 46'
6
Yannik Engelhardt
18
Jona Niemiec

Bench

Coach Daniel Thioune

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yannik Engelhardt	1
David Kinsombi	1
Filip Bilbija	1
Mattes Hansen	1
Abdelhamid Sabiri	1
Koen Kostons	1
Sebastian Schonlau	1
Dawid Kownacki	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2024-01-27 VfL Osnabrück 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-01-21 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 L 2023-12-15 SC Paderborn 07 3–0 FC Hansa Rostock W 2023-12-09 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2023-12-06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 SC Paderborn 07 L

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf Form

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf L 2024-01-30 FC St. Pauli 1910 5–6 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2024-01-27 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2024-01-21 Hertha BSC 2–2 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf D 2023-12-16 1. FC Magdeburg 2–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf W 2023-12-10 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 0–1 Holstein Kiel L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.01 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Paderborn 0751% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf26%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

74%

Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

49%

SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0736% Draw40% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf24%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 1

5.7%

1 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 0

4.2%

0 – 1

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	20%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	15%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.