Friday , 9 October 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 4 Feb 2024 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 4–3 W
27 Jan VfL Osnabrück A 0–0 D
21 Jan SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 0–1 L
15 Dec FC Hansa Rostock H 3–0 W
09 Dec Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
06 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb SC Paderborn 07 A 3–4 L
30 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 6–5 W
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
21 Jan Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
16 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–2 W
10 Dec Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. SC Paderborn 07 kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 19' David Kinsombi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SC Paderborn 07 are in front.
  • 21' Daniel Thioune was booked on 21.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 34' What a moment for Mattes Hansen! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 37' Magnificent from Filip Bilbija! That is 24 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 38' It’s gonna be a card for Ilyas Ansah.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sebastian Klaas made 48 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Nicolas Gavory has done his job and it is now time for Dennis Jastrzembski to step up.
  • 49' Yannik Engelhardt adds to his 2 season tally! TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 55' What a strike from Suliman Mustapha! The score is 3-2.
  • 60' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Calvin Brackelmann as he leaves the pitch. Jannis Heuer steps in for SC Paderborn 07.
  • 70' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 75' With 0 assists to his name this season, Florian Kastenmeier is clearly more than just a goal scorer for TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
  • 76' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Christoph Daferner is replaced by Vincent Vermeij on 76 minute.
  • 81' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 82' Koen Kostons doubles the advantage! 4-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 84' Felix Platte gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Filip Bilbija and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Koen Kostons is withdrawn and Sirlord Conteh gets his opportunity.
  • 87' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. King Manu is hanging Matthias Zimmermann on the field on 87 minute.
  • 90' Against the run of play, Dennis Jastrzembski has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Dennis Jastrzembski has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Ilyas Ansah is replaced by Robert Leipertz on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — SC Paderborn 07 4-3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0751% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf26%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
74%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
49%
SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0736% Draw40% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf24%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 15% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.