Thursday , 2 July 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
SE Palmeiras
1 – 0
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Sun 27 Jul 2025 · 00:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 26' Cristian Pavon
Emiliano Martinez 34' Y
Y 83' Gustavo Martins

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

11
4
3
SE Palmeiras 18 games · Avg 2.6 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2023-09-22 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-05-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
23 Jul Fluminense FC A 2–1 W
20 Jul CA Mineiro H 3–2 W
16 Jul Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
05 Jul Chelsea FC H 1–2 L
28 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
01 Jun EC Juventude A 2–0 W
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Grêmio FBPA
#1 Position #16
41 Points 21
18 Played 18
12 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
30 Scored 20
13 Conceded 23
+17 GD -3
2.28 PPG 1.17
67% Win % 28%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Allianz Parque will turn into a battlefield for SE Palmeiras and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 3' Magnificent from Facundo Torres Perez! That is 46 goals in 21 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 8' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 13' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 18' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Abel Ferreira will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 23' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 26' Cristian Pavon catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
  • 31' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Jardiel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' That looks like a foul for a card for Emiliano Martinez.
  • 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Camilo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Santana on 46 minute.
  • 51' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Riquelme, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Parque with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 58' The whistle greets Luighi Hanri as he departs to be replaced by Raphael Veiga.
  • 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 68' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 70' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Lucas Evangelista is replaced by Anibal Moreno on 70 minute.
  • 75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 77' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Riquelme exits the field as Edenilson enters on 77.
  • 82' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Facundo Torres Perez by Riquelme Fillipi on 82 minute.
  • 83' The referee has no hesitation. Gustavo Martins is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 83.
  • 87' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Dodi departs to be replaced by Jardiel.
  • With this win, SE Palmeiras is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Raphael Veiga 7
Diego Souza 3
Estevao 2
Willian 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Willian 2
Marlon Freitas 2
Deyverson 2

Head to Head

2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2023-09-22 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-05-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Grêmio FBPA

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-07-20 SE Palmeiras 3–2 CA Mineiro W 2025-07-16 SE Palmeiras 1–1 Mirassol FC D 2025-07-05 SE Palmeiras 1–2 Chelsea FC L 2025-06-28 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Botafogo FR W

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-07-19 CR Vasco da Gama 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-06-12 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-06-01 EC Juventude 0–2 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-05-25 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras59% Draw25% Grêmio FBPA16%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
41%
SE Palmeiras or Grêmio FBPA
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras41% Draw47% Grêmio FBPA12%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 19% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 25% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.