Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 30 games · 63 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 4–4 | D |
| 15 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Cuiaba EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Santos FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Goiás EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Deportivo Pereira | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Deportivo Pereira | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 63 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 10 / 13 | W / D / L | 18 / 9 / 3 |
| 32 | Scored | 52 |
| 40 | Conceded | 22 |
| -8 | GD | +30 |
| 1.03 | PPG | 2.10 |
| 23% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (63 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 9 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Gremio FBPA welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Arena do Gremio.
- 5' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 9' Against the run of play, Joao Pedro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Marlon Freitas scoring 2 goals.
- 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 24' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 29' Gremio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 34' That is a Yellow card for Gremio FBPA. Rodrigo Ely will be fuming at that decision.
- 35' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Rodrigo Ely departs to be replaced by Bruno Uvini.
- 40' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Marcos Rocha is booked for SE Palmeiras — Yellow card on 45.
- 46' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Nathan by Everton on 46 minute.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gremio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' Joao Pedro Galvao makes way for Andre at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 59' Mathias Villasanti is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
- 63' Mayke was booked on 63.
- 65' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Luis Guilherme.
- 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 72' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gabriel Menino on 72 minutes.
- 74' Richard Rios is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Menino at the 74 minute mark.
- 79' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 81' Breno Lopes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ze Rafael on 81 minute.
- 85' Controversy at the stadium! Mathias Villasanti argues furiously but the Red card stands.
- 86' A moment of madness from Mathias Villasanti on 86 minutes earns him a Red card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 89' The crowd applauds Luis Suarez as he leaves the pitch. Ronald steps in for Gremio FBPA.
- Another three points for Gremio FBPA.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 34
- 6
- 5
- 9
- 11
- 18
- 19
- 23
- 20
- 12
Bench
- 7
- 31
- 2
- 21
- 10
- 22
- –
- 53
- –
- 77
- 54
- 35
Coach
Renato Gaucho
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Ze Rafael ↓ Breno Lopes 81'
- 23
- 21
- 12
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↓ Luis Guilherme 65'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↓ Kevin Santos 65'
- 15
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Richard Rios 74'
- 26
- 22
- 9
Bench
- 30
-
10
Rony ↑ 65'
- 42
- 6
- 32
-
19
Breno Lopes ↑ 81'
- 13
- 40
- 35
-
37
Kevin Santos ↑ 65'
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 65'
-
27
Richard Rios ↑ 74'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.86
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
59%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 3
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 15% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

