Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 25 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 4–4 | D |
| 15 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Cuiaba EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Santos FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Goiás EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Deportivo Pereira | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Deportivo Pereira | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #1 |
| 28 | Points | 52 |
| 24 | Played | 25 |
| 7 / 7 / 10 | W / D / L | 15 / 7 / 3 |
| 27 | Scored | 45 |
| 32 | Conceded | 21 |
| -5 | GD | +24 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 2.08 |
| 29% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
36%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (52 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 2 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. SE Palmeiras kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Breno Lopes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
- 9' Joao Pedro puts Gremio FBPA on the lead.
- 14' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gremio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 24' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 29' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 34' Rodrigo Ely catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 34.
- 35' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Rodrigo Ely has done his job and it is now time for Bruno Uvini to step up.
- 40' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Marcos Rocha. He receives a Yellow card.
- 46' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Nathan has done his job and it is now time for Everton to step up.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Joao Pedro Galvao departs to be replaced by Andre.
- 59' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mathias Villasanti.
- 63' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a Yellow card on 63.
- 65' Luis Guilherme is replacing Marcos Rocha for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 70' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 72' That is a Yellow card for SE Palmeiras. Gabriel Menino will be fuming at that decision.
- 74' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Gabriel Menino is replaced by Richard Rios.
- 79' Over 79 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 81' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Ze Rafael exits the field as Breno Lopes enters on 81.
- 85' Mathias Villasanti catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 85.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Mathias Villasanti argues furiously but the Red card stands.
- 89' The whistle greets Luis Suarez as he departs to be replaced by Ronald.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Gremio FBPA to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 34
- 6
- 5
- 9
- 11
- 18
- 19
- 23
- 20
- 12
Bench
- 7
- 31
- 2
- 21
- 10
- 22
- –
- 53
- –
- 77
- 54
- 35
Coach
Renato Gaucho
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Ze Rafael ↓ Breno Lopes 81'
- 23
- 21
- 12
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↓ Luis Guilherme 65'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↓ Kevin Santos 65'
- 15
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Richard Rios 74'
- 26
- 22
- 9
Bench
- 30
-
10
Rony ↑ 65'
- 42
- 6
- 32
-
19
Breno Lopes ↑ 81'
- 13
- 40
- 35
-
37
Kevin Santos ↑ 65'
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 65'
-
27
Richard Rios ↑ 74'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Facundo Torres Perez | 2 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.93
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
59%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
70%
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Gremio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 23% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

