Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Fri 22 Sep 2023 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
19 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 4–4 D
15 Sep RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
03 Sep Cuiaba EC H 2–0 W
27 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 3–0 W
20 Aug Santos FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Sep Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L
16 Sep Goiás EC H 1–0 W
03 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–0 D
31 Aug Deportivo Pereira H 0–0 D
27 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
24 Aug Deportivo Pereira A 4–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA SE Palmeiras
#18 Position #2
31 Points 63
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 18 / 9 / 3
32 Scored 52
40 Conceded 22
-8 GD +30
1.03 PPG 2.10
23% Win % 60%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (63 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 9 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Vitor Roque 5 G
Allan 4 G 3 A
Gustavo Gomez 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Gremio FBPA welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Arena do Gremio.
  • 5' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 9' Against the run of play, Joao Pedro has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 14' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Marlon Freitas scoring 2 goals.
  • 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' Gremio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' That is a Yellow card for Gremio FBPA. Rodrigo Ely will be fuming at that decision.
  • 35' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Rodrigo Ely departs to be replaced by Bruno Uvini.
  • 40' SE Palmeiras has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Marcos Rocha is booked for SE Palmeiras — Yellow card on 45.
  • 46' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Nathan by Everton on 46 minute.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gremio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' Joao Pedro Galvao makes way for Andre at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 59' Mathias Villasanti is having his name booked by the referee on 59.
  • 63' Mayke was booked on 63.
  • 65' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Luis Guilherme.
  • 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gabriel Menino on 72 minutes.
  • 74' Richard Rios is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriel Menino at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 81' Breno Lopes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ze Rafael on 81 minute.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Mathias Villasanti argues furiously but the Red card stands.
  • 86' A moment of madness from Mathias Villasanti on 86 minutes earns him a Red card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Luis Suarez as he leaves the pitch. Ronald steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • Another three points for Gremio FBPA.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.86 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA29% Draw29% SE Palmeiras42%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
59%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
Gremio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA17% Draw51% SE Palmeiras32%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 2
3.7%
2 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 15% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 24% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26% ✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
43% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.