SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 30 games · 63 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 5–3 | W |
| 05 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | AC Goianiense | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #18 |
| 63 | Points | 31 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 18 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 13 |
| 52 | Scored | 32 |
| 22 | Conceded | 40 |
| +30 | GD | -8 |
| 2.10 | PPG | 1.03 |
| 60% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (63 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 9 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA get this one started.
- 5' Jemerson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Edenilson suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 16' That looks like a foul for a card for Murilo Cerqueira.
- 21' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 26' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Jemerson gets a card.
- 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Mathias Villasanti.
- 32' That looks like a foul for a card for Gustavo Gomez.
- 37' With 0 assists to his name this season, Felipe Anderson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
- 42' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 52' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 63' The whistle greets Felipe Anderson as he departs to be replaced by Dudu.
- 64' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Nathan Ribeiro comes on to replace Yeferson Soteldo.
- 69' The 31-year-old Raphael Veiga has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 73' Estevao doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Estevao on 74 minutes.
- 75' Diego Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Martin Braithwaite at the 75 minute mark.
- 76' The whistle greets Alexander Aravena as he departs to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Richard Rios. He replaces Mauricio on 77 minute.
- 82' SE Palmeiras make a change. Raphael Veiga trudges off to be replaced by Ze Rafael on 82 minutes.
- 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Richard Rios.
- 88' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mayke on 88 minutes.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Miguel Monsalve. He receives a card.
- SE Palmeiras celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Rony ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 63'
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Ze Rafael 82'
- 21
- 2
- 15
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Mayke 63'
-
9
Felipe Anderson ↓ Dudu 63'
- 5
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Richard Rios 77'
- 26
- 41
Bench
-
8
Ze Rafael ↑ 82'
-
12
Mayke ↑ 63'
-
7
Dudu ↑ 63'
- 14
- 25
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 63'
- 34
- 35
- 4
-
27
Richard Rios ↑ 77'
- 44
- 20
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Dodi ↓ Miguel Monsalve 76'
- 6
- 22
- 28
- 5
- 18
-
15
Edenilson ↓ Joao Pedro Pepe 64'
- 1
- 7
- 20
- 16
Bench
- 3
- 30
- 2
-
19
Diego Costa ↑ 75'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 76'
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 64'
- 26
- 9
- 37
- 33
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 64'
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 76'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.88
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
85%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
38%
SE Palmeiras or Gremio FBPA
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.5%
4 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 25% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

