SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 25 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 5–3 | W |
| 05 Oct | RB Bragantino | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | AC Goianiense | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #15 |
| 52 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 15 / 7 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 45 | Scored | 27 |
| 21 | Conceded | 32 |
| +24 | GD | -5 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 60% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (52 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 2 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Allianz Parque!
- 5' It’s high time Abel Ferreira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Gremio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' Gremio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 16' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Murilo Cerqueira gets a card.
- 21' Gremio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Gremio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 26' Controversy at the stadium! Jemerson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 28' That looks like a foul for a card for Mathias Villasanti.
- 32' Gustavo Gomez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 37' Edenilson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 42' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 52' With 2 assists to his name this season, Franco Cristaldo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
- 57' Murilo Cerqueira is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 63' Felipe Anderson makes way for Dudu at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 64' The whistle greets Yeferson Soteldo as he departs to be replaced by Nathan Ribeiro.
- 69' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gustavo Gomez suffering a number of foals already.
- 73' What a moment for Estevao! That strike on 73 puts his side firmly in control.
- 74' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 74.
- 75' Diego Costa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Martin Braithwaite on 75 minute.
- 76' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Alexander Aravena is replaced by Franco Cristaldo on 76 minute.
- 77' SE Palmeiras make a change. Mauricio trudges off to be replaced by Richard Rios on 77 minutes.
- 82' SE Palmeiras manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ze Rafael is hanging Raphael Veiga on the field on 82 minute.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Richard Rios on 86 minutes.
- 88' Mayke was booked on 88.
- 90' Poor challenge from Miguel Monsalve. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SE Palmeiras take all three points.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Rony ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 63'
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Ze Rafael 82'
- 21
- 2
- 15
-
16
Caio Paulista ↓ Mayke 63'
-
9
Felipe Anderson ↓ Dudu 63'
- 5
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Richard Rios 77'
- 26
- 41
Bench
-
8
Ze Rafael ↑ 82'
-
12
Mayke ↑ 63'
-
7
Dudu ↑ 63'
- 14
- 25
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 63'
- 34
- 35
- 4
-
27
Richard Rios ↑ 77'
- 44
- 20
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Dodi ↓ Miguel Monsalve 76'
- 6
- 22
- 28
- 5
- 18
-
15
Edenilson ↓ Joao Pedro Pepe 64'
- 1
- 7
- 20
- 16
Bench
- 3
- 30
- 2
-
19
Diego Costa ↑ 75'
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 76'
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↑ 64'
- 26
- 9
- 37
- 33
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 64'
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 76'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.93
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
85%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
38%
SE Palmeiras or Gremio FBPA
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

