SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2023

SE Palmeiras

4 – 1

Full Time

Gremio FBPA

Thu 11 May 2023 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Ze Rafael 27' Y

Y 29' Mathias Villasanti

Y 51' Gabriel Chapeco

Y 55' Bruno Alves

Y 61' Walter Kannemann

Joaquin Piquerez 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 30 games · 63 pts (2026/26)
Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	30	64
2	SE Palmeiras	30	63
3	CA Paranaense	30	53
4	Fluminense FC	30	51
5	EC Bahia	30	49
6	Cruzeiro EC	30	48
7	CA Mineiro	30	47
8	Santos FC	30	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	40
10	Sao Paulo FC	30	39
11	Coritiba FBC	30	39
12	Botafogo FR	30	36
13	EC Vitoria	30	36
14	CR Vasco da Gama	29	35
15	Mirassol FC	30	33
16	SC Internacional	30	32
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	30	32
18	Gremio FBPA	30	31
19	Clube do Remo	30	25
20	Chapecoense AF	29	18

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 19 games · Avg 2.4 goals Gremio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Gremio FBPA 2021-10-31 Gremio FBPA 1–3 SE Palmeiras 2021-07-07 SE Palmeiras 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2021-01-16 SE Palmeiras 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2020-09-20 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Gremio FBPA	H	4–1	W
07 May	Goiás EC	A	5–0	W
29 Apr	SC Corinthians Paulista	H	2–1	W
23 Apr	CR Vasco da Gama	A	2–2	D
15 Apr	Cuiaba EC	H	2–1	W
13 Nov	SC Internacional	A	0–3	L

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	SE Palmeiras	A	1–4	L
07 May	RB Bragantino	H	3–3	D
30 Apr	Cuiaba EC	A	2–1	W
23 Apr	Cruzeiro EC	A	0–1	L
16 Apr	Santos FC	H	1–0	W
10 Dec	CA Mineiro	H	4–3	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Gremio FBPA
#2	Position	#18
63	Points	31
30	Played	30
18 / 9 / 3	W / D / L	7 / 10 / 13
52	Scored	32
22	Conceded	40
+30	GD	-8
2.10	PPG	1.03
60%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (63 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

4/2

16-30

5/1

31-45

6/1

46-60

6/4

61-75

6/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/7

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	9 G	4 A
Mauricio	7 G	1 A
Vitor Roque	5 G
Allan	4 G	3 A
Gustavo Gomez	4 G	2 A

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

10 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SE Palmeiras is hosting Gremio FBPA for another epic battle.
5' Gabriel Menino is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 397 games and scored 593 goals.
15' SE Palmeiras are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
23' Raphael Veiga is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
24' Goal! Raphael Veiga scores his 69 goal in 384 matches.
27' A moment of madness from Ze Rafael on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
29' Mathias Villasanti has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 29.
34' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact .
39' It looks like no one’s ball. Gremio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joaquin Piquerez, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Joao Paulo Mares makes it 2-1.
51' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a Yellow card on 51.
54' Gremio FBPA make a change. Felipe Carballo trudges off to be replaced by Everton on 54 minutes.
55' A moment of madness from Bruno Alves on 55 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
56' Raphael Veiga makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
61' The referee calls foul for Walter Kannemann. He receives a Yellow card.
66' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
68' Mayke has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
73' Goal! Luan Garcia scores his 2 goal in 397 matches.
75' Andre is replacing Walter Kannemann for the Gremio FBPA side.
77' Endrick gets the nod from SE Palmeiras. He replaces Raphael Veiga and will look to change the dynamic.
80' The crowd applauds Artur Guimaraes as he leaves the pitch. Breno Lopes steps in for SE Palmeiras.
82' SE Palmeiras player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
87' Gremio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
4-1 the final result. Gremio FBPA will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

42
Marcelo Lomba
11
Tabata ↑ 80'
29
Rafael Navarro
6
Vanderlan
32
Gustavo Garcia
19
Breno Lopes ↑ 80'
35
Fabinho ↑ 77'
18
Jose Lopez
4
Kaiky Naves
40
Jhonatan
9
Endrick ↑ 77'
27
Richard Rios ↑ 77'

Coach Abel Ferreira

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

16
Lucas Silva
7
Nathan ↑ 75'
6
Diogo Barbosa
17
Gustavinho
31
Adriel Ramos
53
Gustavo Martins
13
Everton ↑ 54'
48
Zinho ↑ 75'
45
Mila
77
Andre ↑ 75'
36
Nata

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Raphael Veiga	7
Diego Souza	3
Estevao	2
Willian	2
Carlos Vinicius	2
Willian	2
Marlon Freitas	2
Deyverson	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2023-05-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Gremio FBPA W 2023-05-07 Goiás EC 0–5 SE Palmeiras W 2023-04-29 SE Palmeiras 2–1 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2023-04-23 CR Vasco da Gama 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2023-04-15 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Cuiaba EC W 2022-11-13 SC Internacional 3–0 SE Palmeiras L

Gremio FBPA Form

2023-05-11 SE Palmeiras 4–1 Gremio FBPA L 2023-05-07 Gremio FBPA 3–3 RB Bragantino D 2023-04-30 Cuiaba EC 1–2 Gremio FBPA W 2023-04-23 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2023-04-16 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2021-12-10 Gremio FBPA 4–3 CA Mineiro W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.26 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.77 Gremio FBPA xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras67% Draw20% Gremio FBPA13%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 3.03

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

87%

Draw or Gremio FBPA

33%

SE Palmeiras or Gremio FBPA

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SE Palmeiras50% Draw40% Gremio FBPA10%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

12.2%

1 – 0

10.6%

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 1

9.1%

3 – 0

3 – 1

6.9%

0 – 0

6.4%

4 – 0

4 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

3.5%

1 – 2

3.1%

0 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5	26%	—	74%
-2	26%	21%	53%
-1.5	47%	—	53%
-1	47%	23%	30%
-0.5	70%	—	30%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

47% ✓

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.