SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

SC Freiburg

4 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Schlager

20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg 16 games · Avg 2.4 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-03-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-04-21 SC Freiburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-12-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W
27 Nov	FC Viktoria Plzen	A	0–0	D
22 Nov	FC Bayern München	A	2–6	L
09 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W
06 Nov	OGC Nice	A	3–1	W
01 Nov	1. FC Union Berlin	A	0–0	D

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–4	L
21 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–1	L
01 Nov	SV Werder Bremen	H	1–1	D
29 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–2	L
26 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg		1. FSV Mainz 05
#7	Position	#10
47	Points	40
34	Played	34
13 / 8 / 13	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
51	Scored	44
57	Conceded	53
-6	GD	-9
1.38	PPG	1.18
38%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg

0-15

–/3

16-30

4/–

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/2

61-75

3/2

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SC Freiburg is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
That’s it! Another goalless match for SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jean-Philippe Mateta	8
Nils Petersen	4
Michael Gregoritsch	4
Karim Onisiwo	3
Ritsu Doan	2
Jonathan Burkardt	2
Lucas Holer	2
Roland Sallai	1

Head to Head

SC Freiburg Form

2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-11-27 FC Viktoria Plzen 0–0 SC Freiburg D 2025-11-22 FC Bayern München 6–2 SC Freiburg L 2025-11-09 SC Freiburg 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-11-06 OGC Nice 1–3 SC Freiburg W 2025-11-01 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 SC Freiburg D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2025-11-09 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 SV Werder Bremen D 2025-10-29 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.08 SC Freiburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: SC Freiburg to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg64% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%

Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.94

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw

86%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

36%

SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg46% Draw42% 1. FSV Mainz 0512%

Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.3%

1 – 0

10.4%

1 – 1

10.2%

2 – 1

9.5%

3 – 0

7.6%

0 – 0

3 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

4.1%

4 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

3.9%

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap	SC Freiburg covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	20%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	23%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	9%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

43% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.