Wednesday , 7 October 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
27 Nov FC Viktoria Plzen A 0–0 D
22 Nov FC Bayern Munchen A 2–6 L
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
06 Nov OGC Nice A 3–1 W
01 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–4 L
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #6
10 Points 7
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
12 Scored 10
3 Conceded 6
+9 GD +4
2.50 PPG 1.75
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • It finishes all square. SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 4-0.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg73% Draw17% 1. FSV Mainz 0510%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
90%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
27%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg57% Draw36% 1. FSV Mainz 057%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.6%
3 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
7.3%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.8%
5 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
2.9%
5 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 34% — 66%
-2 34% 22% 44%
-1.5 56% — 44%
-1 56% 21% 23%
-0.5 77% — 23%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.