Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 21 Apr 2024 · 17:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
14 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Leipzig H 1–4 L
30 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–0 W
17 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
14 Mar West Ham United FC A 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
13 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–1 W
06 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 H 4–0 W
30 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
16 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #6
10 Points 7
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
12 Scored 10
3 Conceded 6
+9 GD +4
2.50 PPG 1.75
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Europa-Park Stadion will turn into a battlefield for SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 6' Michael Gregoritsch has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
  • 11' Germany international Yannik Keitel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 16' With 1 assists to his name this season, Ritsu Doan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 31' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 31.
  • 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonathan Burkardt makes it 1-1.
  • 42' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Hofler on 42.
  • 46' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Leandro Barreiro Martins by Tom Krauss on 46 minute.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' Merlin Rohl has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vincenzo Grifo on 56 minute.
  • 61' Nicolas Hofler, a Germany defensive midfielder, has 61 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 62' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Tom Krauss will be fuming at that decision.
  • 67' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
  • 70' Lucas Holer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
  • 71' Anthony Caci has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 73' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Brajan Gruda by Karim Onisiwo on 73 minute.
  • 78' Brajan Gruda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 83' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 85' Sepp van den Berg was booked on 85.
  • 85' It is a substitution in SC Freiburg team. Lucas Holer is replaced by Chikwubuike Adamu on 85 minute.
  • 86' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Anthony Caci is replaced by Silvan Widmer on 86 minute.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.16 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg55% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
79%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
45%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg43% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0517%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.