Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 21 Apr 2024 · 17:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Fritz
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
14 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
06 Apr RB Leipzig H 1–4 L
30 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 3–0 W
17 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–3 L
14 Mar West Ham United FC A 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
13 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 4–1 W
06 Apr SV Darmstadt 98 H 4–0 W
30 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
16 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
09 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–8 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#7 Position #10
47 Points 40
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
51 Scored 44
57 Conceded 53
-6 GD -9
1.38 PPG 1.18
38% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 6' SC Freiburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Michael Gregoritsch on 6.
  • 11' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 16' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
  • 21' Dominik Kohr has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 31' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 31.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Krauss made 513 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' The deadlock is broken! Jonathan Burkardt gets on the scoresheet on 40 minutes.
  • 42' SC Freiburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
  • 46' Tom Krauss is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leandro Barreiro Martins at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' Merlin Rohl gets the nod from SC Freiburg. He replaces Vincenzo Grifo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Tom Krauss. He receives a card.
  • 67' SC Freiburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Holer.
  • 71' Poor challenge from Anthony Caci. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Karim Onisiwo comes on to replace Brajan Gruda.
  • 78' SC Freiburg looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Lucas Holer scoring 1 goals.
  • 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 85' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Lucas Holer is replaced by Chikwubuike Adamu.
  • 86' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Anthony Caci exits the field as Silvan Widmer enters on 86.
  • The points are shared — SC Freiburg 1-1 1. FSV Mainz 05. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg44% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0530%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
56%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg32% Draw45% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
28%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.