SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Fritz
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Apr | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | RB Leipzig | H | 1–4 | L |
| 30 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | West Ham United FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 4–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 30 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 1–8 | L |
Season Stats
| SC Freiburg | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #10 |
| 47 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 8 / 13 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 51 | Scored | 44 |
| 57 | Conceded | 53 |
| -6 | GD | -9 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 38% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 6' SC Freiburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Michael Gregoritsch on 6.
- 11' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 16' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
- 21' Dominik Kohr has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 26' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 31' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 31.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Krauss made 513 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' The deadlock is broken! Jonathan Burkardt gets on the scoresheet on 40 minutes.
- 42' SC Freiburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 46' Tom Krauss is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leandro Barreiro Martins at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' Merlin Rohl gets the nod from SC Freiburg. He replaces Vincenzo Grifo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 62' The referee calls foul for Tom Krauss. He receives a card.
- 67' SC Freiburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Holer.
- 71' Poor challenge from Anthony Caci. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Karim Onisiwo comes on to replace Brajan Gruda.
- 78' SC Freiburg looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Lucas Holer scoring 1 goals.
- 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 85' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- 85' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Lucas Holer is replaced by Chikwubuike Adamu.
- 86' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Anthony Caci exits the field as Silvan Widmer enters on 86.
- The points are shared — SC Freiburg 1-1 1. FSV Mainz 05. Honours even.
Lineups
SC Freiburg Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 8
- 42
- 38
-
32
Vincenzo Grifo ↓ Merlin Rohl 56'
- 30
- 17
- 5
- 27
-
9
Lucas Holer ↓ Chikwubuike Adamu 85'
- 14
- 1
Bench
- 26
- 21
- 23
- 6
- 44
- 25
-
20
Chikwubuike Adamu ↑ 85'
-
34
Merlin Rohl ↑ 56'
-
33
Jordy Makengo ↑ 56'
Coach
Christian Streich
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 86'
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 8
- 29
- 18
- 25
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Karim Onisiwo 73'
- 7
Bench
- 17
- 23
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 73'
- 21
- 20
- 33
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 86'
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 46'
- 24
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 8 |
| Nils Petersen | 4 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 3 |
| Lucas Holer | 2 |
| Ritsu Doan | 2 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Andreas Hanche-Olsen | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Freiburg Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63
SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
SC Freiburg or Draw
71%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
56%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg
| Handicap | SC Freiburg covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

