Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
08 Feb FC Augsburg H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
08 Mar RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
02 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
21 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 5–0 W
15 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
08 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#6 Position #3
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 12
6 Conceded 3
+4 GD +9
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg is underway.
  • 2' The referee calls foul for Chikwubuike Adamu. He receives a card.
  • 7' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 12' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 17' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 22' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Philipp Mwene on 27 minutes earns him a card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 32' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 34' Jonathan Burkardt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
  • 39' Ritsu Doan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
  • 43' Dominik Kohr was booked on 43.
  • 46' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Michael Gregoritsch is hanging Chikwubuike Adamu on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 58' Magnificent from Michael Gregoritsch! That is 60 goals in 435 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 63' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lukas Kubler is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
  • 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 74' GOAL! Andreas Hanche-Olsen scores on 74. Assisted by Anthony Caci
  • 76' A tactical swap from SC Freiburg — Nicolas Hofler on, Maximilian Eggestein off on 76 minutes.
  • 79' GOAL! Lukas Kubler scores on 79. Assisted by Ritsu Doan
  • 84' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 85' Jan-Niklas Beste is replacing Vincenzo Grifo for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 87' Lucas Holer is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-2 SC Freiburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0531% Draw27% SC Freiburg42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
57%
Draw or SC Freiburg
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0519% Draw46% SC Freiburg35%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.