Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
08 Feb FC Augsburg H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
08 Mar RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
02 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
21 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 5–0 W
15 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
08 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#16 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg has kicked off!
  • 2' It’s a booking for SC Freiburg player. Chikwubuike Adamu gets a card.
  • 7' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Freiburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 12' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 22' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 27' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 32' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Jonathan Burkardt doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Dominik Kohr gets a card.
  • 46' SC Freiburg ring the changes. Chikwubuike Adamu has done his job and it is now time for Michael Gregoritsch to step up.
  • 51' SC Freiburg is showing some good football. However, SC Freiburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' SC Freiburg come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 58' Magnificent from Michael Gregoritsch! That is 59 goals in 433 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 63' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Freiburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 68' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jae-sung Lee made 436 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' GOAL! Andreas Hanche-Olsen fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 76' The SC Freiburg bench stirs into life. Maximilian Eggestein is withdrawn and Nicolas Hofler gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Magnificent from Lukas Kubler! That is 14 goals in 493 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 84' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 85' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Vincenzo Grifo departs to be replaced by Jan-Niklas Beste.
  • 87' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Holer.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.55 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw42% SC Freiburg26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 63%
37%
± 1.5 30%
70%
± 2.5 10%
90%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
74%
Draw or SC Freiburg
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
58%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw71% SC Freiburg14%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.9%
1 – 0
16.8%
0 – 1
16.1%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
2 – 1
2.9%
1 – 2
2.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
0.8%
0 – 3
0.7%
3 – 1
0.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 20% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 19% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
59%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
58%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.