Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 24.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
22 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–0 W
16 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
08 Feb FC Augsburg H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
08 Mar RB Leipzig H 0–0 D
02 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
21 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 5–0 W
15 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–0 W
08 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#12 Position #3
10 Points 19
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 2
18 Scored 20
19 Conceded 10
-1 GD +10
1.11 PPG 2.11
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg has kicked off!
  • 2' Chikwubuike Adamu is having his name booked by the referee on 2.
  • 7' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 12' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chikwubuike Adamu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 27' The referee has no hesitation. Philipp Mwene is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 27.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 34' Jonathan Burkardt does the damage! The net is bulging and 1. FSV Mainz 05 surge ahead!
  • 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 43' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Dominik Kohr will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Michael Gregoritsch is replacing Chikwubuike Adamu for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 58' GOAL! Michael Gregoritsch scores on 58. Assisted by Christian Gunter
  • 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 68' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 73' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' Andreas Hanche-Olsen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
  • 76' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Maximilian Eggestein departs to be replaced by Nicolas Hofler.
  • 79' What composure from Lukas Kubler! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 84' Danny da Costa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' Another substitution for SC Freiburg to replace Vincenzo Grifo by Jan-Niklas Beste on 85 minute.
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Holer.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw26% SC Freiburg42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
57%
Draw or SC Freiburg
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw43% SC Freiburg36%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.5%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.