1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- SC Freiburg 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
4 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 24.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Mar | RB Leipzig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | H | 5–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #3 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 12 |
| 6 | Conceded | 3 |
| +4 | GD | +9 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
SC Freiburg
| Yuito Suzuki | 4 G | |
| Igor Matanovic | 3 G | 1 A |
| Maximilian Eggestein | 2 G | |
| Yannik Engelhardt | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg is underway.
- 2' The referee calls foul for Chikwubuike Adamu. He receives a card.
- 7' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 12' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 17' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 22' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 27' A moment of madness from Philipp Mwene on 27 minutes earns him a card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
- 32' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 34' Jonathan Burkardt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
- 39' Ritsu Doan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
- 43' Dominik Kohr was booked on 43.
- 46' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Michael Gregoritsch is hanging Chikwubuike Adamu on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 58' Magnificent from Michael Gregoritsch! That is 60 goals in 435 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 68' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lukas Kubler is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
- 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 74' GOAL! Andreas Hanche-Olsen scores on 74. Assisted by Anthony Caci
- 76' A tactical swap from SC Freiburg — Nicolas Hofler on, Maximilian Eggestein off on 76 minutes.
- 79' GOAL! Lukas Kubler scores on 79. Assisted by Ritsu Doan
- 84' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 85' Jan-Niklas Beste is replacing Vincenzo Grifo for the SC Freiburg side.
- 87' Lucas Holer is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-2 SC Freiburg.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 3
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 5
- 30
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 46'
- 11
- 1
- 44
- 14
- 22
Coach
Bo Henriksen
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 42
- 32
- 30
- 3
- 9
- 28
- 6
- 25
- 20
- 1
Bench
-
19
Jan-Niklas Beste ↑ 85'
-
38
Michael Gregoritsch ↑ 46'
- 21
-
17
Lukas Kubler ↑ 76'
-
27
Nicolas Hofler ↑ 76'
- 18
- 33
- 37
- 44
Coach
Julian Schuster
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 8 |
| Nils Petersen | 4 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 3 |
| Ritsu Doan | 2 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Lucas Holer | 2 |
| Jonathan Schmid | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
57%
Draw or SC Freiburg
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

