1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Mar | RB Leipzig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Feb | SV Werder Bremen | H | 5–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #7 |
| 40 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 13 |
| 44 | Scored | 51 |
| 53 | Conceded | 57 |
| -9 | GD | -6 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 29% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg has kicked off!
- 2' Chikwubuike Adamu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 2.
- 7' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 12' The 33-year-old Christian Gunter has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 22' Maximilian Eggestein has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 27' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- 32' Dominik Kohr is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
- 34' Jonathan Burkardt is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 39' Nicolas Hofler has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 493 appearances.
- 43' Dominik Kohr picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Michael Gregoritsch has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chikwubuike Adamu on 46 minute.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' Noah Atubolu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 58' Michael Gregoritsch doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 68' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 73' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Lucas Holer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andreas Hanche-Olsen makes it 2-1.
- 76' SC Freiburg ring the changes. Maximilian Eggestein has done his job and it is now time for Nicolas Hofler to step up.
- 79' A stunning finish from Lukas Kubler — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 84' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. SC Freiburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 85' Jan-Niklas Beste has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vincenzo Grifo on 85 minute.
- 87' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Holer.
- It finishes all square. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 3
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 5
- 30
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 46'
- 11
- 1
- 44
- 14
- 22
Coach
Bo Henriksen
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 42
- 32
- 30
- 3
- 9
- 28
- 6
- 25
- 20
- 1
Bench
-
19
Jan-Niklas Beste ↑ 85'
-
38
Michael Gregoritsch ↑ 46'
- 21
-
17
Lukas Kubler ↑ 76'
-
27
Nicolas Hofler ↑ 76'
- 18
- 33
- 37
- 44
Coach
Julian Schuster
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 8 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 4 |
| Nils Petersen | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 3 |
| Ritsu Doan | 2 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Lucas Holer | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Gbamin | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
68%
Draw or SC Freiburg
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

