Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 3 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,400 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D
30 Oct Hamburger SV H 2–1 W
26 Oct RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
19 Oct FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
05 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 1–0 W
28 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#7 Position #10
47 Points 40
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
51 Scored 44
57 Conceded 53
-6 GD -9
1.38 PPG 1.18
38% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SC Freiburg have kicked off against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Freiburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 10' SC Freiburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 15' SC Freiburg currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SC Freiburg winning 100% of all matches.
  • 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Lukas Kubler is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' SC Freiburg is showing some good football. However, SC Freiburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 46 minute. Jonathan Burkardt leaves to be changed by Armindo Sieb.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Robin Zentner has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 66' Noah Weisshaupt is replacing Vincenzo Grifo for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 70' Stefan Bell is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
  • 72' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Chikwubuike Adamu departs to be replaced by Michael Gregoritsch.
  • 74' The whistle greets Nadiem Amiri as he departs to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
  • 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 84' SC Freiburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 88' Another change for SC Freiburg made on 88 minute. Ritsu Doan leaves to be changed by Kiliann Sildillia.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kiliann Sildillia on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Silvan Widmer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anthony Caci at the 90 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg43% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
72%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
57%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg27% Draw51% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
34%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.