SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Oct | FC Augsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| SC Freiburg | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #10 |
| 47 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 8 / 13 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 51 | Scored | 44 |
| 57 | Conceded | 53 |
| -6 | GD | -9 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 38% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' SC Freiburg have kicked off against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Freiburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 10' SC Freiburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 15' SC Freiburg currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SC Freiburg winning 100% of all matches.
- 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' Lukas Kubler is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Freiburg tonight.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' SC Freiburg is showing some good football. However, SC Freiburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 46 minute. Jonathan Burkardt leaves to be changed by Armindo Sieb.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Robin Zentner has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 66' Noah Weisshaupt is replacing Vincenzo Grifo for the SC Freiburg side.
- 70' Stefan Bell is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
- 72' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Chikwubuike Adamu departs to be replaced by Michael Gregoritsch.
- 74' The whistle greets Nadiem Amiri as he departs to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
- 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 84' SC Freiburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 88' Another change for SC Freiburg made on 88 minute. Ritsu Doan leaves to be changed by Kiliann Sildillia.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kiliann Sildillia on 90 minutes.
- 90' Silvan Widmer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Anthony Caci at the 90 minute mark.
- It finishes all square. SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 0-0.
Lineups
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
-
42
Ritsu Doan ↓ Kiliann Sildillia 88'
- 32
- 30
- 17
- 3
- 28
- 6
- 20
- 18
- 1
Bench
-
38
Michael Gregoritsch ↑ 72'
- 26
- 21
- 23
-
27
Nicolas Hofler ↑ 66'
- 9
-
25
Kiliann Sildillia ↑ 88'
-
7
Noah Weisshaupt ↑ 66'
-
37
Max Rosenfelder ↑ 66'
Coach
Julian Schuster
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 90'
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
-
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 74'
- 5
- 8
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 21
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 90'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 46'
- 1
- 44
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 74'
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 90'
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 8 |
| Nils Petersen | 4 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 3 |
| Ritsu Doan | 2 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Lucas Holer | 2 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Freiburg Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-11-03
SC Freiburg
0–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2024-10-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2024-10-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
D
2024-10-19
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–2
RB Leipzig
L
2024-10-05
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-09-28
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
SC Freiburg or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
SC Freiburg or Draw
72%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
57%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg
| Handicap | SC Freiburg covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

