Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 3 Nov 2024 · 14:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,400 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D
30 Oct Hamburger SV H 2–1 W
26 Oct RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
19 Oct FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
05 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 1–0 W
28 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#13 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! SC Freiburg welcome 1. FSV Mainz 05 for this crunch clash at Europa-Park Stadion.
  • 5' Vincenzo Grifo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 76 goals in his last 407 appearances.
  • 10' SC Freiburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Kaishu Sano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Hyun-seok Hong is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' SC Freiburg are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 44' Jae-sung Lee catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
  • 46' Jonathan Burkardt makes way for Armindo Sieb at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 61' Philipp Lienhart needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 28 Yellow cards this season.
  • 66' Another substitution for SC Freiburg to replace Vincenzo Grifo by Noah Weisshaupt on 66 minute.
  • 70' Stefan Bell has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
  • 72' A change in the SC Freiburg ranks — Chikwubuike Adamu exits the field as Michael Gregoritsch enters on 72.
  • 74' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Nadiem Amiri exits the field as Hyun-seok Hong enters on 74.
  • 79' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Freiburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 84' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 88' It is a substitution in SC Freiburg team. Ritsu Doan is replaced by Kiliann Sildillia on 88 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for SC Freiburg player. Kiliann Sildillia gets a card.
  • 90' Silvan Widmer gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Anthony Caci and will look to change the dynamic.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.4 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.45 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 94% + Under — clean sheet likely 85%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg31% Draw46% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes15% 0% No85%
Avg goals/match: 0.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 54%
46%
± 1.5 22%
78%
± 2.5 6%
94%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 0%
100%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
69%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
54%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg10% Draw77% 1. FSV Mainz 0513%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
17.1%
1 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
3.7%
2 – 0
2.8%
1 – 2
2%
2 – 1
1.8%
2 – 2
0.6%
0 – 3
0.5%
3 – 0
0.4%
1 – 3
0.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 17% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 19% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
64%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
67%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.