Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
11 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–0 D
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP H 5–0 W
25 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 H 1–1 D
12 Nov RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
09 Nov FK TSC Backa Topola H 5–0 W
04 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–3 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#6 Position #3
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 12
6 Conceded 3
+4 GD +9
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at MEWA Arena as 1. FSV Mainz 05 face off against SC Freiburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Noah Weisshaupt has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 24' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Matthias Ginter departs to be replaced by Manuel Gulde.
  • 29' Leandro Barreiro Martins is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 39' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Freiburg's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 54' The 32-year-old Ludovic Ajorque has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' A tactical swap from SC Freiburg — Lucas Holer on, Noah Weisshaupt off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Brajan Gruda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Marco Richter as he leaves the pitch. Jonathan Burkardt steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 70' SC Freiburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Michael Gregoritsch on 70.
  • 75' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 76' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Jae-sung Lee by Karim Onisiwo on 76 minute.
  • 81' Matthias Ginter, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 84' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Chikwubuike Adamu is hanging Michael Gregoritsch on the field on 84 minute.
  • 86' Dominik Kohr gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Tom Krauss and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Roland Sallai on 87 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SC Freiburg will be frustrated.
  • Full Time. SC Freiburg beats 1. FSV Mainz 05

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw28% SC Freiburg46%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
54%
Draw or SC Freiburg
74%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw47% SC Freiburg35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.