1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Nov | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Hertha BSC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | PAE Olympiakos SFP | H | 5–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Nov | FK TSC Backa Topola | H | 5–0 | W |
| 04 Nov | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #7 |
| 40 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 13 |
| 44 | Scored | 51 |
| 53 | Conceded | 57 |
| -9 | GD | -6 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 29% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
18%
Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
SC Freiburg this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg has kicked off!
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' It’s high time Christian Streich made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 24' SC Freiburg make a change. Matthias Ginter trudges off to be replaced by Manuel Gulde on 24 minutes.
- 29' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 29.
- 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brajan Gruda, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jan Siewert might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
- 49' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 59' The crowd applauds Noah Weisshaupt as he leaves the pitch. Lucas Holer steps in for SC Freiburg.
- 64' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jonathan Burkardt is hanging Marco Richter on the field on 66 minute.
- 70' Michael Gregoritsch has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
- 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jae-sung Lee exits the field as Karim Onisiwo enters on 76.
- 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 84' The SC Freiburg bench stirs into life. Michael Gregoritsch is withdrawn and Chikwubuike Adamu gets his opportunity.
- 86' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Tom Krauss by Dominik Kohr on 86 minute.
- 87' SC Freiburg player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Freiburg players.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 17
- 19
- 10
- 2
- 8
- 33
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Danny da Costa 86'
-
14
Tom Krauss ↓ Dominik Kohr 86'
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Aymen Barkok 76'
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Karim Onisiwo 76'
Bench
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↑ 86'
- 16
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 76'
-
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↑ 66'
-
21
Danny da Costa ↑ 86'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 76'
- 24
- 1
- 45
Coach
Jan Siewert
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 8
-
42
Ritsu Doan ↓ Roland Sallai 84'
- 38
- 3
- 27
-
28
Matthias Ginter ↓ Manuel Gulde 24'
- 25
- 34
- 1
-
7
Noah Weisshaupt ↓ Lucas Holer 59'
- 33
Bench
- 21
- 32
-
5
Manuel Gulde ↑ 24'
-
9
Lucas Holer ↑ 59'
-
22
Roland Sallai ↑ 84'
- 35
-
20
Chikwubuike Adamu ↑ 84'
Coach
Christian Streich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 8 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 4 |
| Nils Petersen | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 3 |
| Ritsu Doan | 2 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Lucas Holer | 2 |
| Roland Sallai | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Freiburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or SC Freiburg
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

