Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
26 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
11 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 A 0–0 D
04 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP H 5–0 W
25 Nov SV Darmstadt 98 H 1–1 D
12 Nov RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
09 Nov FK TSC Backa Topola H 5–0 W
04 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–3 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#10 Position #7
40 Points 47
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
44 Scored 51
53 Conceded 57
-9 GD -6
1.18 PPG 1.38
29% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg has kicked off!
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' It’s high time Christian Streich made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 24' SC Freiburg make a change. Matthias Ginter trudges off to be replaced by Manuel Gulde on 24 minutes.
  • 29' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 29.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brajan Gruda, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jan Siewert might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 49' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 54' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Noah Weisshaupt as he leaves the pitch. Lucas Holer steps in for SC Freiburg.
  • 64' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 66' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jonathan Burkardt is hanging Marco Richter on the field on 66 minute.
  • 70' Michael Gregoritsch has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 76' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jae-sung Lee exits the field as Karim Onisiwo enters on 76.
  • 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 84' The SC Freiburg bench stirs into life. Michael Gregoritsch is withdrawn and Chikwubuike Adamu gets his opportunity.
  • 86' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Tom Krauss by Dominik Kohr on 86 minute.
  • 87' SC Freiburg player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Freiburg players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0535% Draw30% SC Freiburg35%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
65%
Draw or SC Freiburg
65%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw50% SC Freiburg24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
32%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.