Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 21 Nov 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
08 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
02 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
28 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 9–10 L
25 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–1 W
19 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#10 Position #5
40 Points 61
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
44 Scored 65
53 Conceded 52
-9 GD +13
1.18 PPG 1.79
29% Win % 53%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.7 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw25% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim41%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
60%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
66%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw40% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim33%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.5%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
15%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.