Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 21 Nov 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
6 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
08 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
02 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
28 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 9–10 L
25 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–1 W
19 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#12 Position #9
10 Points 12
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 5
18 Scored 16
19 Conceded 17
-1 GD -1
1.11 PPG 1.33
33% Win % 44%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Bambase Conte 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G 1 A
Tim Lemperle 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.24 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw24% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
64%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw36% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim30%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.4%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 17% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.