Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
27 Nov FC Viktoria Plzeň A 0–0 D
22 Nov FC Bayern München A 2–6 L
09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
06 Nov OGC Nice A 3–1 W
01 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–4 L
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L
01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#13 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 80% + Under 2.5 goals 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg61% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0510%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
90%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
39%
SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg36% Draw59% 1. FSV Mainz 055%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
25.6%
0 – 0
23.6%
2 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
2.3%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
1.1%
2 – 2
0.8%
4 – 1
0.8%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 18% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 31% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 6% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
74%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.