SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
SC Freiburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Schlager
21 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 30 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W 27 Nov FC Viktoria Plzen A 0–0 D 22 Nov FC Bayern Munchen A 2–6 L 09 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W 06 Nov OGC Nice A 3–1 W 01 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 30 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–4 L 21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D 09 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–1 L 01 Nov SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D 29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L 26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L Season Stats
SC Freiburg 1. FSV Mainz 05 #7 Position #10 47 Points 40 34 Played 34 13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14 51 Scored 44 57 Conceded 53 -6 GD -9 1.38 PPG 1.18 38% Win % 29% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this seasonSC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Freiburg0-15–/316-304/–31-45–/246-603/261-753/276+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- Another three points for SC Freiburg.
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Lineups
SC Freiburg Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Jean-Philippe Mateta 8 Nils Petersen 4 Michael Gregoritsch 4 Karim Onisiwo 3 Ritsu Doan 2 Jonathan Burkardt 2 Lucas Holer 2 Jean-Paul Boetius 1 Head to Head
SC Freiburg Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 42.08 SC Freiburg xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGI would bet for: SC Freiburg to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 55%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Freiburg winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.94Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 79% 21% ± 2.5 55% 45% ± 3.5 34% 66% ± 4.5 18% 82% Double Chance
SC Freiburg or Draw 86%Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05 36%SC Freiburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05 79%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Freiburg win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 0 11.3%1 – 0 10.4%1 – 1 10.2%2 – 1 9.5%3 – 0 7.6%0 – 0 7%3 – 1 6.6%2 – 2 4.1%4 – 0 Actual1 – 2 3.9%0 – 1 3.8%4 – 1 3.5%Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg
Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers -2.5 21% — 79% -2 21% 20% 59% -1.5 41% — 59% -1 41% 23% 36% -0.5 64% — 36% +0.5 86% — 14% +1 86% 9% 4% +1.5 96% — 4% +2 96% 3% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet 43% ✗1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 13% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

