RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

RFK Akhmat Grozny

1 – 0

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Fri 5 Dec 2025 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL .

RFK Akhmat Grozny 11 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
FK Orenburg 11 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Dinamo Moskva	11	25
2	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	11	24
3	FK Spartak Moskva	11	23
4	FK Krasnodar	11	22
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	11	22
6	FK Orenburg	11	13
7	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	11	13
8	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	11	13
9	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	11	12
10	FK Rubin Kazan	11	12
11	FK Rostov	11	12
12	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	11	11
13	RFK Akhmat Grozny	11	11
14	FK Akron Tolyatti	11	9
15	FK Fakel Voronezh	11	6
16	FK Rodina Moskva	11	6

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 16 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg 2025-08-22 FK Orenburg 2–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-07-28 FK Orenburg 0–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-11-26 FK Orenburg 1–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Dec	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W
30 Nov	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	2–1	W
22 Nov	FK Rubin Kazan	A	0–1	L
09 Nov	FK Spartak Moskva	H	1–2	L
02 Nov	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	0–2	L
27 Oct	PFK Sochi	H	2–4	L

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Dec	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	0–2	L
22 Nov	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	0–0	D
09 Nov	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L
02 Nov	PFK Sochi	H	3–1	W
25 Oct	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny		FK Orenburg
#13	Position	#6
11	Points	13
11	Played	11
2 / 5 / 4	W / D / L	2 / 7 / 2
15	Scored	13
16	Conceded	12
-1	GD	+1
1.00	PPG	1.18
18%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

33% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 13th (11 pts). FK Orenburg are 6th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

3/2

61-75

1/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/1

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Lechi Sadulaev	3 G	3 A
Egas Cacintura	3 G	2 A
Georgi Melkadze	3 G
Andres Alarcon	2 G
Erald Maksuti	1 G

FK Orenburg

Jordhy Thompson	3 G	2 A
Gedeon Guzina	3 G	1 A
Ruslan Kul	3 G	1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg is underway.
That’s it! Another goalless match for RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bernard Berisha	2
Evgenii Kharin	2
Odise Roshi	2
Ziga Skoflek	1
Vladimir Obukhov	1
Wilker Angel	1
Andres Ponce	1
Gamid Agalarov	1

Head to Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2025-12-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2025-11-30 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2025-11-22 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-11-09 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Spartak Moskva L 2025-11-02 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-10-27 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–4 PFK Sochi L

FK Orenburg Form

2025-12-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-29 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-22 FK Orenburg 0–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2025-11-09 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-02 FK Orenburg 3–1 PFK Sochi W 2025-10-25 FK Spartak Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.25 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny47% Draw29% FK Orenburg24%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.17

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	64%	36%
± 2.5	37%	63%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

76%

Draw or FK Orenburg

53%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny29% Draw52% FK Orenburg19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

13.7%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

8.5%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

5.8%

0 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

3.8%

3 – 0

3.5%

3 – 1

3.4%

1 – 3

1.8%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	23%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.