RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

RFK Akhmat Grozny

1 – 0

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Fri 5 Dec 2025 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL .

RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny 16 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg 2025-08-22 FK Orenburg 2–2 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-07-28 FK Orenburg 0–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-11-26 FK Orenburg 1–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Dec	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W
30 Nov	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	2–1	W
22 Nov	FK Rubin Kazan	A	0–1	L
09 Nov	FK Spartak Moskva	H	1–2	L
02 Nov	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	0–2	L
27 Oct	PFK Sochi	H	2–4	L

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Dec	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	0–2	L
22 Nov	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	0–0	D
09 Nov	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L
02 Nov	PFK Sochi	H	3–1	W
25 Oct	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny		FK Orenburg
#9	Position	#12
37	Points	29
30	Played	30
9 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 15
35	Scored	29
39	Conceded	44
-4	GD	-15
1.23	PPG	0.97
30%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — let the football do the talking.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from RFK Akhmat Grozny to claim maximum points.

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Evgenii Kharin	2
Odise Roshi	2
Bernard Berisha	2
Camilo	1
Artiom Timofeev	1
Vladimir Ilyin	1
Vadim Afonin	1
Ziga Skoflek	1

Head to Head

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2025-12-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2025-11-30 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–1 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2025-11-22 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-11-09 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Spartak Moskva L 2025-11-02 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2025-10-27 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2–4 PFK Sochi L

FK Orenburg Form

2025-12-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-29 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-22 FK Orenburg 0–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2025-11-09 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-02 FK Orenburg 3–1 PFK Sochi W 2025-10-25 FK Spartak Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.41 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny52% Draw28% FK Orenburg20%

Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.22

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw

80%

Draw or FK Orenburg

48%

RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RFK Akhmat Grozny34% Draw51% FK Orenburg15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 0

13%

2 – 0

10.4%

2 – 1

8.5%

0 – 1

7.6%

3 – 0

4.8%

1 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.1%

2 – 2

3.6%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

1.8%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap	RFK Akhmat Grozny covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	25%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	14%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.