FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | FK Ural | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 May | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | FK Orenburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 May | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–5 | L |
| 10 May | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 May | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 37 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 11 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| -15 | GD | -4 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 23% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FK Orenburg and RFK Akhmat Grozny has kicked off!
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Georgi Sheliya, a Georgia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lechi Sadulaev, as he is very good at scoring at Stadion Gazovik with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 19' Svetoslav Kovachev is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
- 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and RFK Akhmat Grozny are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 29' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
- 34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 38' That looks like a foul for a card for Matias Perez.
- 40' Nader Ghandri has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 40.
- 45' A quiet spell here at Stadion Gazovik. RFK Akhmat Grozny seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RFK Akhmat Grozny winning 50% of all matches.
- 55' FK Orenburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' Poor challenge from Mohammad Ghorbani. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 65' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 69' Anton Shvets is replacing Vladislav Kamilov for the RFK Akhmat Grozny side.
- 70' It’s gonna be a card for Bernard Berisha.
- 73' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Feyttullah Gurluk has done his job and it is now time for Saeid Saharkhizan to step up.
- 75' Fresh legs for RFK Akhmat Grozny! Zaim Divanovic comes on to replace Svetoslav Kovachev.
- 80' Bernard Berisha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 81' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Yaroslav Mikhailov departs to be replaced by Ivan Basic.
- 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Milos Satara suffering a number of foals already.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 80
- 21
- 99
- 87
- 22
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↓ Ivan Basic 81'
- 12
- 6
- 9
- 7
- 81
Bench
- 31
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 73'
- 13
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 81'
- 11
- 4
- 24
- 19
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 81'
- 1
-
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↑ 73'
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 55
- 88
- 9
- 75
- 8
- 95
- 98
- 18
- 15
- 5
- 10
Bench
- 2
-
23
Anton Shvets ↑ 69'
- 40
-
65
Bernard Berisha ↑ 69'
- 1
-
24
Zaim Divanovic ↑ 75'
- 71
- 13
- 84
Coach
Magomed Adiev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Vladimir Ilyin | 1 |
| Vadim Afonin | 1 |
| Ziga Skoflek | 1 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Wilker Angel | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2024-07-28
FK Orenburg
0–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2024-07-21
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Krasnodar
D
2024-05-25
FK Fakel Voronezh
2–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-05-19
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–5
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2024-05-10
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2024-05-04
FK Krasnodar
0–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
63%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
68%
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

