FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | FK Ural | A | 3–3 | D |
| 12 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 May | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul | FK Orenburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 May | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–5 | L |
| 10 May | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 May | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 37 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 11 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| -15 | GD | -4 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 23% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
20%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadion Gazovik!
- 5' RFK Akhmat Grozny is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past RFK Akhmat Grozny's compact 3-4-3.
- 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 19' Svetoslav Kovachev is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
- 24' RFK Akhmat Grozny come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 29' FK Orenburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RFK Akhmat Grozny needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matias Perez on 38.
- 40' That is a card for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Nader Ghandri will be fuming at that decision.
- 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 50' Russia international Yaroslav Mikhailov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Orenburg and RFK Akhmat Grozny are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' Mohammad Ghorbani is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
- 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 69' Anton Shvets gets the nod from RFK Akhmat Grozny. He replaces Vladislav Kamilov and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' That is a card for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Bernard Berisha will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Saeid Saharkhizan on, Feyttullah Gurluk off on 73 minutes.
- 75' The crowd applauds Svetoslav Kovachev as he leaves the pitch. Zaim Divanovic steps in for RFK Akhmat Grozny.
- 80' RFK Akhmat Grozny has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 81' The crowd applauds Yaroslav Mikhailov as he leaves the pitch. Ivan Basic steps in for FK Orenburg.
- 86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Orenburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 80
- 21
- 99
- 87
- 22
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↓ Ivan Basic 81'
- 12
- 6
- 9
- 7
- 81
Bench
- 31
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 73'
- 13
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 81'
- 11
- 4
- 24
- 19
- 38
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 81'
- 1
-
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↑ 73'
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 55
- 88
- 9
- 75
- 8
- 95
- 98
- 18
- 15
- 5
- 10
Bench
- 2
-
23
Anton Shvets ↑ 69'
- 40
-
65
Bernard Berisha ↑ 69'
- 1
-
24
Zaim Divanovic ↑ 75'
- 71
- 13
- 84
Coach
Magomed Adiev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Sergei Terekhov | 1 |
| Mohamed Konate | 1 |
| Oleg Ivanov | 1 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 1 |
| Bekim Balaj | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2024-07-28
FK Orenburg
0–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2024-07-21
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Krasnodar
D
2024-05-25
FK Fakel Voronezh
2–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-05-19
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–5
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2024-05-10
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
0–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
2024-05-04
FK Krasnodar
0–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny 69% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.1
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
63%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
68%
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

