FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs RFK Akhmat Grozny — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Nov | FK Rostov | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov | FK Orenburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Nov | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Nov | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | FK Rostov | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | RFK Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 29 | Points | 37 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 9 / 10 / 11 |
| 29 | Scored | 35 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| -15 | GD | -4 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.23 |
| 23% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
20%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FK Orenburg have kicked off against RFK Akhmat Grozny. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kirill Kaplenko suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' FK Orenburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' RFK Akhmat Grozny has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 32.
- 36' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matias Perez on 36 minutes.
- 39' Bernard Berisha catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 39.
- 44' RFK Akhmat Grozny is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Vladimir Obukhov gets a card.
- 50' Vladimir Obukhov has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gamid Agalarov on 52.
- 57' Dmitry Vorobyev is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
- 62' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 65' A stunning finish from Gamid Agalarov — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 65' The referee calls foul for Aleksei Kenyaikin. He receives a card.
- 66' Dmitry Vorobyev has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 66.
- 70' Camilo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 70.
- 75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and RFK Akhmat Grozny are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 76' Stepan Oganesyan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Vladimir Obukhov on 76 minute.
- 77' RFK Akhmat Grozny player sees a card in front of him.
- 78' Another substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny to replace Bernard Berisha by Vladislav Kamilov on 78 minute.
- 81' Poor challenge from Evgeny Kharin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their trying to find a way past RFK Akhmat Grozny's compact .
- 87' Brian Mansilla makes way for Jimmy Marin at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
- 90' A tactical swap from RFK Akhmat Grozny — Bi Gbamble on, Gamid Agalarov off on 90 minutes.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
55
Kirill Kaplenko ↓ Ivan Basic 76'
- 15
- 90
- 21
- 5
- 10
- 13
- 22
-
23
Lucas Vera ↓ Feyttullah Gurluk 87'
-
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Jimmy Marin 87'
- 81
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 87'
- 2
- 38
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 76'
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 76'
- 4
- 14
- 12
- 95
- 17
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 87'
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 55
- 88
- 40
- 7
-
9
Gamid Agalarov ↓ Bi Gbamble 90'
- 8
- 6
- 98
- 16
- 94
- 21
Bench
- 15
- 1
- 19
-
18
Vladislav Kamilov ↑ 78'
- 35
-
59
Evgeny Kharin ↑ 78'
- 3
-
47
Bi Gbamble ↑ 90'
Coach
Miroslav Romashchenko
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Vladimir Ilyin | 1 |
| Vadim Afonin | 1 |
| Ziga Skoflek | 1 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Wilker Angel | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2023-11-26
FK Orenburg
1–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2023-11-11
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2023-11-04
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
FK Fakel Voronezh
L
2023-10-28
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2023-10-22
FK Rostov
3–0
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2023-10-08
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–1
FK Rubin Kazan
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
63%
Draw or RFK Akhmat Grozny
65%
FK Orenburg or RFK Akhmat Grozny
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

