FK Spartak Moskva vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Spartak Moskva

1 – 0

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Spartak Moskva vs FK Orenburg — RFPL .

FK Spartak Moskva 14 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	14	31
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	14	31
3	FK Spartak Moskva	14	29
4	FK Krasnodar	14	26
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	14	26
6	FK Rostov	14	19
7	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	14	18
8	FK Rubin Kazan	14	18
9	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	14	17
10	FK Orenburg	14	17
11	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	14	16
12	RFK Akhmat Grozny	14	14
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	14	12
14	FK Rodina Moskva	14	12
15	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	14	11
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	14	6

Head-to-Head

FK Spartak Moskva 13 games · Avg 2.4 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-25 FK Spartak Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg 2025-03-02 FK Spartak Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg 2024-07-21 FK Orenburg 2–0 FK Spartak Moskva 2024-05-25 FK Orenburg 0–0 FK Spartak Moskva 2023-07-23 FK Spartak Moskva 3–2 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Spartak Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	FK Orenburg	H	1–0	W
18 Oct	FK Rostov	H	1–1	D
05 Oct	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	3–0	W
21 Sep	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	H	2–1	W
13 Sep	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	2–2	D

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	FK Spartak Moskva	A	0–1	L
18 Oct	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–1	D
05 Oct	FK Rostov	H	0–1	L
27 Sep	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	2–5	L
21 Sep	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–3	L
13 Sep	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

FK Spartak Moskva		FK Orenburg
#3	Position	#10
29	Points	17
14	Played	14
9 / 2 / 3	W / D / L	3 / 8 / 3
27	Scored	14
11	Conceded	14
+16	GD	+0
2.07	PPG	1.21
64%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
FK Spartak Moskva this season

44% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Spartak Moskva are 3rd (29 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Spartak Moskva

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

2/1

76+

6/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

3/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Spartak Moskva

Manfred Ugalde	6 G
Mirlind Daku	5 G	1 A
Pablo Solari	3 G	1 A
Danil Prutsev	3 G
Ezequiel Barco	2 G	2 A

FK Orenburg

Jordhy Thompson	3 G	3 A
Gedeon Guzina	3 G	1 A
Ruslan Kul	3 G	1 A
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FK Spartak Moskva Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ezequiel Ponce	2
Daniil Khlusevich	2
Quincy Promes	2
Dorde Despotovic	1
Dmitri Vorobyov	1
Andrei Malykh	1
Victor Moses	1
Reziuan Mirzov	1

Head to Head

FK Spartak Moskva Form

2025-10-25 FK Spartak Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2025-10-18 FK Spartak Moskva 1–1 FK Rostov D 2025-10-05 PFC CSKA Moskva 3–2 FK Spartak Moskva L 2025-09-28 FK Spartak Moskva 3–0 FK Nizhny Novgorod W 2025-09-21 FK Spartak Moskva 2–1 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara W 2025-09-13 FK Dinamo Moskva 2–2 FK Spartak Moskva D

FK Orenburg Form

2025-10-25 FK Spartak Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-10-18 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Orenburg D 2025-10-05 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Rostov L 2025-09-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 5–2 FK Orenburg L 2025-09-21 FK Orenburg 1–3 FK Dinamo Moskva L 2025-09-13 FK Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 FK Orenburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.66 FK Spartak Moskva xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.65 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: FK Spartak Moskva to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Spartak Moskva61% Draw25% FK Orenburg14%

Actual: FK Spartak Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.31

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	40%	60%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

FK Spartak Moskva or Draw

86%

Draw or FK Orenburg

39%

FK Spartak Moskva or FK Orenburg

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Spartak Moskva41% Draw48% FK Orenburg11%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

13.2%

0 – 0

11.9%

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

8.6%

3 – 0

7.2%

0 – 1

5.4%

3 – 1

4.9%

1 – 2

3.3%

4 – 0

2 – 2

2.9%

4 – 1

2.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Spartak Moskva

Handicap	FK Spartak Moskva covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	19%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	26%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	9%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet

52% ✓

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.