RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 14 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | FK Rostov | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #10 |
| 14 | Points | 17 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 3 |
| 16 | Scored | 14 |
| 19 | Conceded | 14 |
| -3 | GD | +0 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 21% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 12th (14 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Lechi Sadulaev | 3 G | 3 A |
| Egas Cacintura | 3 G | 2 A |
| Georgi Melkadze | 3 G | |
| Andres Alarcon | 2 G | |
| Erald Maksuti | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Akhmat Arena will turn into a battlefield for RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg.
- 5' RFK Akhmat Grozny have won 280 goals from 403 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Feyttullah Gurluk has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. RFK Akhmat Grozny must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' RFK Akhmat Grozny currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dmitrii Rybchinskii suffering a number of foals already.
- 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ivan Basic on 38 minutes.
- 43' Lechi Sadulaev, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' Mohamed Amine Talal gets the nod from RFK Akhmat Grozny. He replaces Felippe Cardoso and will look to change the dynamic.
- 49' The referee calls foul for Kazimcan Karatas. He receives a card.
- 50' Goal! Aleksandr Zhirov scores his 3 goal in 154 matches.
- 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 57' That is a card for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Camilo will be fuming at that decision.
- 62' A quiet spell here at Akhmat Arena. RFK Akhmat Grozny seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 67' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 68' FK Orenburg make a change. Dmitrii Rybchinskii trudges off to be replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk on 68 minutes.
- 73' It looks surprising RFK Akhmat Grozny does not make any changes. Turpal-Ali Ibishev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 77' That is a card for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Ismael will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' FK Orenburg make a change. Saeid Saharkhizan trudges off to be replaced by Aleksey Baranovsky on 82 minutes.
- 83' A change in the RFK Akhmat Grozny ranks — Maksim Samorodov exits the field as Vladislav Kamilov enters on 83.
- 86' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Semen Stolbov will be fuming at that decision.
- 87' The whistle greets Semen Stolbov as he departs to be replaced by Georgii Zotov.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Mohamed Amine Talal. He receives a card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2
- 30
- 40
- 1
- 47
- 95
- 15
- 10
- 4
- 11
- 20
Bench
- 36
-
14
Mohamed Amine Talal ↑ 46'
- 88
- 24
- 19
-
18
Vladislav Kamilov ↑ 83'
- 5
- 71
- 13
- 72
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 80
- 20
- 99
- 87
- 8
- 14
- 18
- 35
-
61
Semen Stolbov ↓ Georgii Zotov 87'
- 38
- 10
Bench
-
31
Georgii Zotov ↑ 87'
-
6
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 82'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 68'
- 81
- 69
- 59
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 82'
- 1
- 94
- 71
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Vadim Afonin | 1 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 1 |
| Dmitrii Rybchinskii | 1 |
| Sergei Terekhov | 1 |
| Mohamed Konate | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2024-12-08
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–0
FK Orenburg
W
2024-12-02
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2024-11-24
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-11-10
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2024-11-03
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2024-10-26
FK Rostov
2–3
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.26
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.02
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
80%
Draw or FK Orenburg
49%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.6%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
1.4%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 25% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

