Sunday , 16 August 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1 – 0
Full Time
FK Orenburg
Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 16:00 UTC Akhmat Arena 3,796 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aleksandr Zhirov 50' 1–0
Y 38' Ivan Basic
Y 49' Kazimcan Karatas
Camilo 57' Y
Ismael 77' Y
Y 86' Semen Stolbov
Mohamed Amine Talal 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 68
2 FK Krasnodar 30 66
3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 53
4 FK Spartak Moskva 30 52
5 PFC CSKA Moskva 30 51
6 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 46
7 FK Dinamo Moskva 30 45
8 FK Rubin Kazan 30 43
9 RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 37
10 FK Rostov 30 33
11 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 32
12 FK Orenburg 30 29
13 FK Akron Tolyatti 30 27
14 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 30 26
15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 23
16 PFK Sochi 30 22

Head-to-Head

8
5
3
RFK Akhmat Grozny 16 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Orenburg
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-07-28 FK Orenburg 0–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-11-26 FK Orenburg 1–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-08-20 RFK Akhmat Grozny 4–0 FK Orenburg 2023-03-04 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

RFK Akhmat Grozny
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
02 Dec FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
24 Nov PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–2 L
10 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–2 L
03 Nov FK Nizhny Novgorod H 0–2 L
26 Oct FK Rostov A 3–2 W
FK Orenburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
30 Nov FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L
23 Nov FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–1 L
09 Nov FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 1–2 L
03 Nov FK Krasnodar A 0–4 L
27 Oct FK Rubin Kazan H 1–2 L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny FK Orenburg
#9 Position #12
37 Points 29
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
35 Scored 29
39 Conceded 44
-4 GD -15
1.23 PPG 0.97
30% Win % 23%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg has kicked off!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' RFK Akhmat Grozny are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with RFK Akhmat Grozny winning 50% of all matches.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Ivan Basic is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 38.
  • 43' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' It is a substitution in RFK Akhmat Grozny team. Felippe Cardoso is replaced by Mohamed Amine Talal on 46 minute.
  • 49' Kazimcan Karatas is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
  • 50' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Aleksandr Zhirov makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 57' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Camilo on 57 minutes.
  • 62' Kazimcan Karatas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 67' FK Orenburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 68' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Dmitrii Rybchinskii has done his job and it is now time for Feyttullah Gurluk to step up.
  • 73' The travelling FK Orenburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 77' RFK Akhmat Grozny player sees a card in front of him.
  • 82' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Saeid Saharkhizan departs to be replaced by Aleksey Baranovsky.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Maksim Samorodov as he leaves the pitch. Vladislav Kamilov steps in for RFK Akhmat Grozny.
  • 86' Semen Stolbov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
  • 87' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Semen Stolbov is withdrawn and Georgii Zotov gets his opportunity.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Mohamed Amine Talal.
  • With this win, RFK Akhmat Grozny is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergey Tashuev

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Bernard Berisha 2
Evgenii Kharin 2
Odise Roshi 2
Gamid Agalarov 1
Wilker Angel 1
Timur Ayupov 1
Aleksandr Zhirov 1
Vadim Afonin 1

Head to Head

2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-07-28 FK Orenburg 0–0 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-11-26 FK Orenburg 1–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny 2023-08-20 RFK Akhmat Grozny 4–0 FK Orenburg 2023-03-04 RFK Akhmat Grozny 3–1 FK Orenburg

RFK Akhmat Grozny Form

2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg W 2024-12-02 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–1 FK Dinamo Moskva D 2024-11-24 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1 RFK Akhmat Grozny L 2024-11-10 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-11-03 RFK Akhmat Grozny 0–2 FK Nizhny Novgorod L 2024-10-26 FK Rostov 2–3 RFK Akhmat Grozny W

FK Orenburg Form

2024-12-08 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-30 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2024-11-09 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 FK Orenburg L 2024-11-03 FK Krasnodar 4–0 FK Orenburg L 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny57% Draw26% FK Orenburg17%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
83%
Draw or FK Orenburg
43%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny37% Draw49% FK Orenburg14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.