RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2025/26)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | FK Rostov | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 37 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 9 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 35 | Scored | 29 |
| 39 | Conceded | 44 |
| -4 | GD | -15 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 30% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Akhmat Arena!
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RFK Akhmat Grozny side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Akhmat Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Artem Kasimov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
- 30' RFK Akhmat Grozny are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
- 35' RFK Akhmat Grozny looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 38' Poor challenge from Ivan Basic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 43' RFK Akhmat Grozny started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 46' Time for substitution for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Felippe Cardoso is replaced by Mohamed Amine Talal.
- 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kazimcan Karatas.
- 50' RFK Akhmat Grozny is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aleksandr Zhirov on 50.
- 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 57' Controversy at the stadium! Camilo argues furiously but the card stands.
- 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sergey Tashuev might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 68' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Dmitrii Rybchinskii is withdrawn and Feyttullah Gurluk gets his opportunity.
- 73' RFK Akhmat Grozny is showing some good football. However, RFK Akhmat Grozny are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 77' Ismael has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
- 82' Another substitution for FK Orenburg to replace Saeid Saharkhizan by Aleksey Baranovsky on 82 minute.
- 83' RFK Akhmat Grozny manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vladislav Kamilov is hanging Maksim Samorodov on the field on 83 minute.
- 86' It’s gonna be a card for Semen Stolbov.
- 87' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Georgii Zotov on, Semen Stolbov off on 87 minutes.
- 90' The referee shows RFK Akhmat Grozny player a card on 90.
- FK Orenburg will have plenty to reflect on. RFK Akhmat Grozny were simply the better side today.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2
- 30
- 40
- 1
- 47
- 95
- 15
- 10
- 4
- 11
- 20
Bench
- 36
-
14
Mohamed Amine Talal ↑ 46'
- 88
- 24
- 19
-
18
Vladislav Kamilov ↑ 83'
- 5
- 71
- 13
- 72
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 80
- 20
- 99
- 87
- 8
- 14
- 18
- 35
-
61
Semen Stolbov ↓ Georgii Zotov 87'
- 38
- 10
Bench
-
31
Georgii Zotov ↑ 87'
-
6
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 82'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 68'
- 81
- 69
- 59
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 82'
- 1
- 94
- 71
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Oleg Ivanov | 1 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 1 |
| Bekim Balaj | 1 |
| Ravanelli | 1 |
| Artem Timofeev | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2024-12-08
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–0
FK Orenburg
W
2024-12-02
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2024-11-24
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-11-10
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2024-11-03
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2024-10-26
FK Rostov
2–3
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
83%
Draw or FK Orenburg
43%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
11.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.3%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.