RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | FK Orenburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Dec | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Nov | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | FK Rostov | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Nov | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FK Krasnodar | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Oct | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 2 / 4 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 6 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 7 |
| 13 | Conceded | 10 |
| +0 | GD | -3 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 22% | Win % | 11% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 10th (10 pts). FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Egas Cacintura | 3 G | 1 A |
| Georgi Melkadze | 3 G | |
| Lechi Sadulaev | 2 G | 3 A |
| Andres Alarcon | 2 G | |
| Erald Maksuti | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! RFK Akhmat Grozny welcome FK Orenburg for this crunch clash at Akhmat Arena.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' RFK Akhmat Grozny are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-3-1-2 shape.
- 25' Feyttullah Gurluk needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 30' Russia international Yaroslav Mikhailov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Akhmat Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ivan Basic.
- 43' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' The RFK Akhmat Grozny manager makes a substitution. Felippe Cardoso departs to be replaced by Mohamed Amine Talal.
- 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kazimcan Karatas on 49.
- 50' GOAL! Aleksandr Zhirov fires home to make it 1-0!
- 55' Dmitrii Rybchinskii has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 57' Camilo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
- 62' RFK Akhmat Grozny started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
- 67' Ivan Basic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 184 appearances.
- 68' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Dmitrii Rybchinskii is replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk on 68 minute.
- 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nikolai Sysuev suffering a number of foals already.
- 77' Ismael was booked on 77.
- 82' Aleksey Baranovsky gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Saeid Saharkhizan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Maksim Samorodov makes way for Vladislav Kamilov at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from RFK Akhmat Grozny.
- 86' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Semen Stolbov will be fuming at that decision.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Georgii Zotov. He replaces Semen Stolbov on 87 minute.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mohamed Amine Talal on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2
- 30
- 40
- 1
- 47
- 95
- 15
- 10
- 4
- 11
- 20
Bench
- 36
-
14
Mohamed Amine Talal ↑ 46'
- 88
- 24
- 19
-
18
Vladislav Kamilov ↑ 83'
- 5
- 71
- 13
- 72
Coach
Sergey Tashuev
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 80
- 20
- 99
- 87
- 8
- 14
- 18
- 35
-
61
Semen Stolbov ↓ Georgii Zotov 87'
- 38
- 10
Bench
-
31
Georgii Zotov ↑ 87'
-
6
Mohammad Ghorbani ↑ 82'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 68'
- 81
- 69
- 59
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 82'
- 1
- 94
- 71
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bernard Berisha | 2 |
| Evgenii Kharin | 2 |
| Odise Roshi | 2 |
| Wilker Angel | 1 |
| Andres Ponce | 1 |
| Gamid Agalarov | 1 |
| Wilker Angel | 1 |
| Timur Ayupov | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2024-12-08
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–0
FK Orenburg
W
2024-12-02
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Dinamo Moskva
D
2024-11-24
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2024-11-10
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–2
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
L
2024-11-03
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
L
2024-10-26
FK Rostov
2–3
RFK Akhmat Grozny
W
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.12
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
84%
Draw or FK Orenburg
43%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Orenburg
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
12.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
2.1%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 26% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

