Thursday , 2 July 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Mon 27 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct PFK Sochi H 2–4 L
19 Oct FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–2 D
04 Oct FK Krasnodar A 0–2 L
27 Sep FK Akron Tolyatti H 3–0 W
20 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 2–1 W
13 Sep FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct RFK Akhmat Grozny A 4–2 W
19 Oct FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 0–3 L
05 Oct FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
28 Sep FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D
22 Sep PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–3 L
14 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny PFK Sochi
#9 Position #16
37 Points 22
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 20
35 Scored 29
39 Conceded 60
-4 GD -31
1.23 PPG 0.73
30% Win % 20%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
1/3
16-30
/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.9 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RFK Akhmat Grozny47% Draw25% PFK Sochi28%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
72%
Draw or PFK Sochi
53%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or PFK Sochi
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RFK Akhmat Grozny36% Draw42% PFK Sochi22%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
25%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.