Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
3 – 2
Full Time
Sat 15 Oct 2022 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSC — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Nicolas Winter
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Markus Sinn
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
17 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–3 L
09 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
02 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
10 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
04 Sep FC Augsburg A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
90% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome Hertha BSC for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
  • 5' David Raum is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hertha BSC tonight.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stevan Jovetic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' The 34-year-old Marvin Plattenhardt has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Hertha BSC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' The deadlock is broken! Emil Forsberg gets on the scoresheet on 25 minutes.
  • 30' The deadlock is broken! Abdou Diallo gets on the scoresheet on 30 minutes.
  • 32' Marc-Oliver Kempf is having his name booked by the referee on 32.
  • 37' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Hertha BSC backline.
  • 38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Amadou Haidara.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Marvin Plattenhardt is booked for Hertha BSC — Yellow card on 41.
  • 45' The Hungary Willi Orban breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 3-0!
  • 46' Maximilian Mittelstadt gets the nod from Hertha BSC. He replaces Marvin Plattenhardt and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maximilian Mittelstadt, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 59' Marco Richter makes way for Chidera Ejuke at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hertha BSC.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Mohamed Simakan as he leaves the pitch. Benjamin Henrichs steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 62' A stunning finish from Dodi Lukebakio — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 62' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Amadou Haidara is replaced by Marcel Halstenberg on 62 minute.
  • 64' Controversy at the stadium! Kevin Kampl argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 64' A stunning finish from Stevan Jovetic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Emil Forsberg is replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hertha BSC that had 471 games and scored 462 goals.
  • 82' Hertha BSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 83' The whistle greets Suat Serdar as he departs to be replaced by Davie Selke.
  • 84' Christopher Nkunku doubles the advantage! 4-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 89' Davie Selke has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' Agustin Rogel picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • RB Leipzig celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + RB Leipzig to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig62% Draw21% Hertha BSC17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
83%
Draw or Hertha BSC
38%
RB Leipzig or Hertha BSC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig44% Draw39% Hertha BSC17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.