Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
3 2
Full Time
Sat 15 Oct 2022 · 16:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hertha BSCBundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Nicolas Winter
  • Referee Thorben Siewer
  • Referee Robert Kempter
  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Referee Markus Sinn
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
17 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–3 L
09 Oct SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
02 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
10 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
04 Sep FC Augsburg A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
90% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting Hertha BSC for another epic battle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Hertha BSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Willi Orban, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 9 goals in the last 8 games.
  • 20' The travelling Hertha BSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' What a strike from Emil Forsberg! The score is 1-0.
  • 30' GOAL! Abdou Diallo scores on 30. Assisted by Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 32' Hertha BSC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 38' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Amadou Haidara gets a Yellow card.
  • 41' Marvin Plattenhardt is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
  • 45' GOAL! Willi Orban scores on 45.
  • 46' Maximilian Mittelstadt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marvin Plattenhardt on 46 minute.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' Another substitution for Hertha BSC to replace Marco Richter by Chidera Ejuke on 59 minute.
  • 61' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Mohamed Simakan by Benjamin Henrichs on 61 minute.
  • 62' What a strike from Dodi Lukebakio! The score is 3-1.
  • 62' The whistle greets Amadou Haidara as he departs to be replaced by Marcel Halstenberg.
  • 64' Kevin Kampl is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 64' GOAL! Stevan Jovetic scores on 64.
  • 69' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 72' The whistle greets Emil Forsberg as he departs to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • 77' Hertha BSC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 513 games and scored 719 goals.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Hertha BSC team. Suat Serdar is replaced by Davie Selke on 83 minute.
  • 84' GOAL! Christopher Nkunku scores on 84. Assisted by Kevin Kampl
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Agustin Rogel.
  • With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.24 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + RB Leipzig to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig62% Draw21% Hertha BSC17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
83%
Draw or Hertha BSC
38%
RB Leipzig or Hertha BSC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig44% Draw39% Hertha BSC17%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32%
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.