Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Fri 16 Sep 2022 · 18:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Markus Schmidt
  • Referee Michael Emmer

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
20 Aug FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
14 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
10 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
04 Sep FC Augsburg A 2–0 W
27 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 0–1 L
19 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
13 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.15 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0541% Draw30% Hertha BSC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
71%
Draw or Hertha BSC
59%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Hertha BSC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw52% Hertha BSC22%
Actual: Hertha BSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.