Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2022-23
Fri 16 Sep 2022 · 18:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSCBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Guido Kleve
  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Referee Markus Schmidt
  • Referee Michael Emmer

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Hertha BSC H 1–1 D
10 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–4 L
04 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W
27 Aug Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
20 Aug FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
14 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
10 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
04 Sep FC Augsburg A 2–0 W
27 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 0–1 L
19 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
13 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at MEWA Arena as 1. FSV Mainz 05 face off against Hertha BSC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' The 29-year-old Maximilian Mittelstadt has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' A goal from the France international Lucas Tousart! He fires home on 30 to make it 0-1!
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sandro Schwarz will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Dominik Kohr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 40.
  • 45' It looks surprising Hertha BSC does not make any changes. Edimilson Fernandes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Angelo Fulgini has done his job and it is now time for Suliman Mustapha to step up.
  • 48' The referee shows Hertha BSC player a Yellow card on 48.
  • 53' Karim Onisiwo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hertha BSC so far.
  • 54' Anthony Caci is replacing Aaron Martin for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 55' Fresh legs for Hertha BSC! Maximilian Mittelstadt comes on to replace Marvin Plattenhardt.
  • 58' Poor challenge from Dodi Lukebakio. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Danny da Costa. He replaces Edimilson Fernandes on 59 minute.
  • 64' Hertha BSC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Marton Dardai. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Suliman Mustapha. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Hertha BSCMarco Richter on, Jean-Paul Boetius off on 72 minutes.
  • 74' The referee calls foul for Karim Onisiwo. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 79' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Aymen Barkok on, Stefan Bell off on 79 minutes.
  • 83' Peter Pekarik has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chidera Ejuke on 83 minute.
  • 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.15 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0541% Draw30% Hertha BSC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
71%
Draw or Hertha BSC
59%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Hertha BSC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw52% Hertha BSC22%
Actual: Hertha BSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
36%
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.